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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 15, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Dallas Stars 2, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Dallas Stars

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 86% of the time.

COL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:46Shot by Stastny, saved by Ellis
  2. P1 0:00Period start
  3. P1 0:55Dillon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · DAL Robidas, Peverley, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  4. P1 2:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ellis5v4
  5. P1 2:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Ellis5v4
  6. P1 4:18Goal by Peverley (Seguin, Benn)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · DAL Robidas, Peverley, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  7. P1 4:45Shot by Fiddler, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 6:00Shot by Hejda, saved by Ellis
  9. P1 8:27Shot by Horcoff, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 9:46Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 9:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 10:59Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 11:04Shot by Downie, saved by Ellis
  14. P1 11:43Goal by Duchene, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Downie, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene · DAL Whitney, Gonchar, Goligoski, Chiasson, Eakin

  15. P1 15:12Daley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Downie, Johnson, Duchene, Landeskog · DAL Whitney, Daley, Benn, Chiasson, Eakin

  16. P1 17:21Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 18:14Shot by Chiasson, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 19:29Shot by Parenteau, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 19:53Goal by Hejda (MacKinnon, Parenteau)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Hejda, Johnson, McGinn, MacKinnon · DAL Robidas, Cole, Horcoff, Roussel, Dillon

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:42Johnson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Guenin, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · DAL Robidas, Horcoff, Peverley, Benn, Dillon

  23. P2 2:46Shot by McGinn, saved by Ellis4v5
  24. P2 3:23Shot by Chiasson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  25. P2 3:24Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov4v5
  26. P2 4:31Shot by Roussel, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 4:33Shot by Horcoff, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 7:19Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 8:59MacKinnon: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, McGinn, MacKinnon · DAL Whitney, Daley, Benn, Chiasson, Eakin, Seguin

  30. P2 10:36Shot by Whitney, saved by Varlamov4v5
  31. P2 10:58Goal by Eakin (Whitney, Cole)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Stastny, McGinn · DAL Whitney, Cole, Horcoff, Goligoski, Eakin

  32. P2 11:10Shot by Wilson, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 11:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ellis
  34. P2 11:22Shot by Peverley, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 11:53Shot by Downie, saved by Ellis
  36. P2 12:47Shot by Roussel, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 12:48Shot by Roussel, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 12:49Shot by Horcoff, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 14:18Goal by Duchene (Parenteau, Johnson)6v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Downie, Johnson, Wilson, Duchene, MacKinnon · DAL Gonchar, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Seguin

  40. P2 14:59Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 15:51Shot by Peverley, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 16:28Shot by Roussel, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 16:30MacKinnon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Parenteau, Guenin, McGinn, Wilson, MacKinnon · DAL Gonchar, Cole, Horcoff, Goligoski, Roussel

  44. P2 16:50Shot by Whitney, saved by Varlamov4v5
  45. P2 16:51Shot by Chiasson, saved by Varlamov4v5
  46. P2 17:58Shot by Peverley, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 18:09Horcoff: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Guenin, Hejda, Mitchell, McLeod · DAL Cole, Horcoff, Goligoski, Peverley, Eakin

  48. P2 18:09Varlamov: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Guenin, Hejda, Mitchell, McLeod · DAL Cole, Horcoff, Goligoski, Peverley, Eakin

  49. P2 19:44Shot by Chiasson, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:23Shot by Chiasson, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 0:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ellis
  54. P3 1:14Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 1:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ellis
  56. P3 1:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 1:54Shot by Cole, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 2:36Shot by Benoit, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 4:31Shot by Horcoff, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 4:49Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 5:20Shot by Sarich, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 5:14Shot by McGinn, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 5:56Shot by Sarich, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 6:19Johnson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · DAL Robidas, Peverley, Benn, Dillon, Seguin

  65. P3 6:24Shot by Whitney, saved by Varlamov4v5
  66. P3 7:25Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov4v5
  67. P3 7:36Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov4v5
  68. P3 8:04Shot by Whitney, saved by Varlamov4v5
  69. P3 8:51Shot by Wilson, saved by Ellis
  70. P3 9:19Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ellis
  71. P3 10:52Shot by Gonchar, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 11:02Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 11:24Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 12:27Shot by Goligoski, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 14:45Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ellis
  76. P3 15:57Shot by Peverley, saved by Varlamov
  77. P3 17:11Shot by Daley, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 18:00Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ellis
  79. P3 18:59Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov5v6
  80. P3 19:59Shot by Chiasson, saved by Varlamov5v6
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final