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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Staal, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Raymond, saved by Ward
  4. P1 0:42Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  5. P1 1:01Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 1:13Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 4:07Shot by Bellemore, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 5:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Ward
  9. P1 6:11Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Bolland, Gunnarsson, Leivo · CAR Ruutu, Semin, Staal, Sekera, Faulk

  10. P1 7:11Shot by Franson, saved by Ward5v4
  11. P1 8:18Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward
  12. P1 8:21Shot by Raymond, saved by Ward
  13. P1 8:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Ward
  14. P1 8:42Ruutu: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Raymond, Gunnarsson, Kadri · CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Semin, Staal, Murphy

  15. P1 11:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  16. P1 11:43McClement: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Bolland, Franson, Leivo, Rielly · CAR Harrison, Gerbe, Tlusty, Staal, Murphy

  17. P1 11:48Shot by Murphy, saved by Bernier4v5
  18. P1 11:58Shot by Bolland, saved by Ward4v5
  19. P1 12:38Shot by Raymond, saved by Ward4v5
  20. P1 13:35Semin: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson · CAR Ruutu, Semin, Staal, Sekera, Bowman

  21. P1 15:23Shot by Franson, saved by Ward5v4
  22. P1 15:56Shot by Bowman, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 17:25Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Ward
  24. P1 17:34Shot by Westgarth, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 17:35Ranger: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Gunnarsson, Ashton, Kadri · CAR Hainsey, Dwyer, Westgarth, Bowman, Murphy

  26. P1 17:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier4v5
  27. P1 18:50Shot by Sekera, saved by Bernier4v5
  28. P1 19:07Shot by Ruutu, saved by Bernier4v5
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:47Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 0:50Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 2:30Goal by Lupul (Ranger)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Gardiner, Kadri, Broll · CAR Dvorak, Sekera, Nash, Faulk, Skinner

  34. P2 3:04Shot by Faulk, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 4:25Shot by Bowman, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 5:35Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 6:47Goal by Leivo (Bolland, Rielly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Bolland, Franson, Leivo, Rielly · CAR Sekera, Gerbe, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  38. P2 9:10Shot by Bowman, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 9:31Shot by Dvorak, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 10:14Shot by Murphy, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 10:25Ruutu: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Raymond, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · CAR Ruutu, Semin, Staal, Sekera, Faulk

  42. P2 10:42Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bernier5v4
  43. P2 11:26Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward5v4
  44. P2 14:03Shot by Faulk, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 14:53Shot by Ashton, saved by Ward
  46. P2 15:43Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 16:02Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 17:36Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward
  49. P2 17:49Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  50. P2 19:03Shot by Harrison, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 19:58Shot by Leivo, saved by Ward
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:41Shot by Dwyer, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 1:26Kadri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Kadri, Broll, Rielly · CAR Dvorak, Harrison, Nash, Skinner, Murphy

  56. P3 1:30Shot by Sekera, saved by Bernier4v5
  57. P3 2:05Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier4v5
  58. P3 2:06Shot by Ruutu, saved by Bernier4v5
  59. P3 2:15Shot by Faulk, saved by Bernier4v5
  60. P3 2:54Goal by Murphy (Skinner)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Bolland, Raymond, Gunnarsson · CAR Gerbe, Staal, Faulk, Skinner, Murphy

  61. P3 3:34Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 5:53Shot by Broll, saved by Ward
  63. P3 6:03Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward
  64. P3 6:48Goal by Staal (Faulk)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Raymond, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · CAR Semin, Staal, Sekera, Tlusty, Faulk

  65. P3 7:11Shot by Bellemore, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 7:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Ward
  67. P3 8:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Ward
  68. P3 8:08Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Ward
  69. P3 10:05Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 10:12Shot by Hainsey, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 11:20Shot by Staal, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 13:04Goal by Hainsey (Ward)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Raymond, Franson, Kadri, Rielly · CAR Dvorak, Hainsey, Nash, Bellemore, Skinner

  73. P3 14:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 15:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Ward
  75. P3 16:54Shot by Franson, saved by Ward
  76. P3 18:41Shot by Lupul, saved by Ward6v5
  77. P3 19:45Kadri: Boarding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, Bozak, Kadri · CAR Dvorak, Dwyer, Sekera, Staal, Faulk

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final