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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dvorak–Nash–SkinnerSemin–Staal–TlustyRuutu–Semin–StaalDwyer–Gerbe–StaalGerbe–Tlusty–StaalDwyer–Westgarth–BowmanNash–Bowman–SkinnerSemin–Staal–BowmanSekera–FaulkHainsey–BellemoreHarrison–MurphyHainsey–Harrison
Raymond–Kessel–Bozak0:410.05–0.005:080.07–0.374:390.41–0.211:120.00–0.030:500.00–0.089:380.53–0.561:250.00–0.142:240.06–0.080:490.00–0.03
Lupul–Kadri–Broll7:220.17–0.561:190.13–0.093:010.10–0.115:350.20–0.601:480.00–0.13
McClement–Bolland–Leivo0:390.00–0.003:160.11–0.113:130.07–0.571:180.07–0.003:430.00–0.444:070.11–0.24
Orr–Smith–Ashton0:350.00–0.000:590.04–0.011:100.00–0.000:500.00–0.042:100.09–0.01
Lupul–Raymond–Kadri0:360.00–0.020:310.22–0.000:580.07–0.020:310.22–0.00
Lupul–Kessel–Bozak0:400.02–0.000:540.02–0.00
Phaneuf–Gunnarsson0:400.05–0.004:420.07–0.134:140.45–0.161:030.00–0.097:480.53–0.202:460.00–0.172:060.11–0.09
Ranger–Gardiner7:310.17–0.510:340.00–0.010:460.00–0.000:300.08–0.062:330.10–0.066:580.14–0.571:560.04–0.12
Franson–Rielly0:370.00–0.021:110.00–0.270:450.00–0.052:330.20–0.003:430.07–0.560:490.06–0.033:240.16–0.323:120.06–0.514:170.16–0.14
Ranger–Gunnarsson0:380.00–0.010:310.03–0.070:370.00–0.082:020.06–0.09
Phaneuf–Gardiner0:380.00–0.000:410.00–0.031:310.00–0.06
Gardiner–Rielly1:030.20–0.001:150.20–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcClement FLeivo FBolland FRaymond FBozak FKessel FLupul FKadri FBroll FSmith FOrr FAshton FFranson DRielly DPhaneuf DGunnarsson DRanger DGardiner DReimer GBernier GStaal FGerbe FTlusty FStaal FRuutu FSemin FDvorak FNash FSkinner FWestgarth FBowman FDwyer FHainsey DBellemore DSekera DFaulk DMurphy DHarrison DWard G
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR2625:100:581:4965
Dion PhaneufTOR2524:581:001:5044
Andrej SekeraCAR2624:530:571:4946
Mason RaymondTOR3124:490:481:4164
Tyler BozakTOR3023:210:471:3556
Eric StaalCAR2622:000:511:2754
Phil KesselTOR2521:030:511:3552
Alexander SeminCAR2520:500:501:3254
Joffrey LupulTOR2320:150:532:4646
Cody FransonTOR2820:130:431:4664
Nazem KadriTOR2520:090:481:4147
Jake GardinerTOR2220:080:551:4828
Carl GunnarssonTOR2619:570:461:2153
Ron HainseyCAR2219:230:531:5123
Jordan StaalCAR2718:500:421:4845
Morgan RiellyTOR2417:380:441:4144
Brett BellemoreCAR2117:350:501:5123
Paul RangerTOR2417:310:441:3637
Nathan GerbeCAR2316:500:441:1541
Dave BollandTOR2616:330:381:3371
Jiri TlustyCAR2316:210:431:2043
Jeff SkinnerCAR2116:020:461:1092
Ryan MurphyCAR1815:490:531:4152
Riley NashCAR2115:210:441:0562
Radek DvorakCAR2014:280:431:0562
Jay HarrisonCAR1714:150:501:1342
Jay McClementTOR2314:010:371:1744
Patrick DwyerCAR2113:320:391:1234
Josh LeivoTOR1911:410:371:1251
David BrollTOR1811:320:381:0536
Tuomo RuutuCAR1611:260:431:3231
Drayson BowmanCAR117:180:400:5642
Carter AshtonTOR75:100:440:5913
Trevor SmithTOR53:200:400:5903
Colton OrrTOR53:030:370:5303
Kevin WestgarthCAR41:570:290:4620