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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 25, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 70% of the time.

COL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Peters
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Mitchell, saved by Peters
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Downie, saved by Peters
  5. P1 5:39Shot by Gerbe, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 5:42Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 7:07Shot by Semin, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 7:33Shot by McGinn, saved by Peters
  9. P1 7:35Shot by Guenin, saved by Peters
  10. P1 7:40Shot by Guenin, saved by Peters
  11. P1 7:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Peters
  12. P1 8:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Peters
  13. P1 8:42Shot by Landeskog, saved by Peters
  14. P1 11:30Goal by Johnson (Stastny, Tanguay)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · CAR Hainsey, Komisarek, Semin, Staal, Tlusty

  15. P1 12:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Peters
  16. P1 12:28Murphy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Guenin, Downie, Wilson, O'Reilly, Duchene · CAR Gleason, Sutter, Westgarth, Murphy, Lindholm

  17. P1 12:41Dvorak: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · CAR Dvorak, Sekera, Staal, Faulk

  18. P1 14:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Peters5v3
  19. P1 14:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Peters5v3
  20. P1 14:32Shot by Johnson, saved by Peters5v4
  21. P1 14:44Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 15:19Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 15:52Shot by Semin, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 16:07Shot by Cliche, saved by Peters
  25. P1 16:48Shot by Hejda, saved by Peters
  26. P1 17:31Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Peters
  27. P1 17:33Goal by Duchene (O'Reilly, Downie)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Benoit, Hejda, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · CAR Dvorak, Hainsey, Komisarek, Ruutu, Nash

  28. P1 17:56Landeskog: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · CAR Gleason, Semin, Staal, Tlusty, Murphy

  29. P1 18:16Shot by Tlusty, saved by Varlamov4v5
  30. P1 19:30Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov4v5
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:12Goal by Bowman (Staal, Sekera)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Guenin, Downie, Wilson, O'Reilly, Duchene · CAR Sekera, Gerbe, Staal, Bowman, Faulk

  34. P2 2:25Shot by Gleason, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 3:04Shot by Sekera, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 4:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Peters
  37. P2 5:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Peters
  38. P2 6:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Peters
  39. P2 9:16Shot by Downie, saved by Peters
  40. P2 10:11Goal by Tanguay (Duchene, Benoit)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Tanguay, Benoit, Duchene, Landeskog · CAR Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Sutter, Faulk

  41. P2 12:14Shot by Mitchell, saved by Peters
  42. P2 13:08Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 13:14Shot by Sutter, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 14:48Shot by Hejda, saved by Peters
  45. P2 16:12McGinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Benoit, McGinn, MacKinnon · CAR Dvorak, Hainsey, Komisarek, Ruutu, Nash

  46. P2 17:25Shot by Gerbe, saved by Varlamov4v5
  47. P2 18:44Shot by Landeskog, saved by Peters
  48. P2 18:45Faulk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Tanguay, Benoit, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog · CAR Ruutu, Semin, Faulk, Murphy, Lindholm

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:13Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Peters5v4
  52. P3 0:28Shot by Benoit, saved by Peters5v4
  53. P3 0:36Goal by Duchene, unassisted5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Benoit, Hejda, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · CAR Gleason, Sekera, Tlusty, Staal

  54. P3 1:00Shot by Nash, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 2:21Shot by Semin, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 2:40Goal by Sekera (Tlusty, Semin)+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Downie, O'Reilly, Duchene · CAR Semin, Sekera, Tlusty, Faulk, Lindholm

  57. P3 5:46Shot by Gleason, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 6:30Shot by Gerbe, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 6:34Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 6:54Shot by Bowman, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 8:44Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 8:50Shot by Semin, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 8:56Shot by Murphy, saved by Varlamov
  64. P3 9:07Shot by Gleason, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 9:58Shot by McGinn, saved by Peters
  66. P3 10:10Shot by Benoit, saved by Peters
  67. P3 10:25Bordeleau: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Mitchell, Bordeleau, Cliche · CAR Hainsey, Ruutu, Sutter, Nash, Murphy

  68. P3 11:27Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov4v5
  69. P3 11:34Shot by Faulk, saved by Varlamov4v5
  70. P3 11:35Shot by Semin, saved by Varlamov4v5
  71. P3 11:42Shot by Staal, saved by Varlamov4v5
  72. P3 15:47Shot by Stastny, saved by Peters
  73. P3 16:21Shot by Landeskog, saved by Peters
  74. P3 17:54Shot by Nash, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 18:06Shot by Landeskog, saved by Peters
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final