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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 28, 2013·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.

CAR winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Kobasew, saved by Peters
  3. P1 1:39Shot by Sutter, saved by Peters
  4. P1 2:28Sutter: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Sutter, Westgarth, Bowman · PIT Adams, Glass, Malkin, Niskanen, Letang, Vitale

  5. P1 2:28Sutter: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Sutter, Westgarth, Bowman · PIT Adams, Glass, Malkin, Niskanen, Letang, Vitale

  6. P1 2:28Vitale: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Sutter, Westgarth, Bowman · PIT Adams, Glass, Malkin, Niskanen, Letang, Vitale

  7. P1 2:28Vitale: Fighting (5 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Sutter, Westgarth, Bowman · PIT Adams, Glass, Malkin, Niskanen, Letang, Vitale

  8. P1 2:26Shot by Letang, saved by Peters5v6
  9. P1 3:28Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  10. P1 4:51Shot by Adams, saved by Peters
  11. P1 4:53Shot by Malkin, saved by Peters
  12. P1 5:07Gleason: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Dwyer, Tlusty, Nash · PIT Adams, Glass, Malkin, Niskanen, Letang

  13. P1 8:23Shot by Megna, saved by Peters
  14. P1 8:25Goal by Glass (Megna, Orpik)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Sekera, Westgarth, Bowman, Faulk, Lindholm · PIT Orpik, Martin, Glass, Crosby, Megna

  15. P1 9:00Shot by Crosby, saved by Peters
  16. P1 11:51Shot by Hainsey, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 12:30Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Peters
  18. P1 13:19Shot by Sutter, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 14:03Shot by Megna, saved by Peters
  20. P1 14:15Sutter: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Faulk · PIT Dupuis, Niskanen, Letang, Sutter, Megna

  21. P1 15:22Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury5v4
  22. P1 15:32Adams: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Staal, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk · PIT Adams, Crosby, Letang, Bortuzzo

  23. P1 16:03Goal by Gerbe (Lindholm, Semin)5v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Gerbe, Murphy, Lindholm · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Vitale

  24. P1 18:00Ruutu: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Ruutu, Gleason, Dwyer, Nash · PIT Adams, Jokinen, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Maatta

  25. P1 18:07Shot by Malkin, saved by Peters4v5
  26. P1 19:11Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:22Kunitz: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Dwyer, Sekera, Staal, Faulk · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  30. P2 0:39Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury5v4
  31. P2 2:26Shot by Sekera, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 4:24Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 4:44Shot by Dwyer, saved by Fleury
  34. P2 7:43Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 8:32Shot by Megna, saved by Peters
  36. P2 9:23Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  37. P2 9:54Shot by Maatta, saved by Peters
  38. P2 10:56Shot by Hainsey, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 12:37Shot by Dwyer, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 12:55Shot by Tlusty, saved by Fleury
  41. P2 13:01Shot by Sekera, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 13:44Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  43. P2 13:45Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  44. P2 14:53Shot by Jokinen, saved by Peters
  45. P2 15:21Shot by Niskanen, saved by Peters
  46. P2 16:24Goal by Kunitz (Crosby, Orpik)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Dwyer, Sekera, Staal, Faulk · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Kunitz, Crosby, Maatta

  47. P2 16:32D'Agostini: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Harrison, Nash, Murphy, Lindholm · PIT Jokinen, D'Agostini, Vitale, Bortuzzo, Maatta

  48. P2 16:34Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury5v4
  49. P2 17:09Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury5v4
  50. P2 18:13Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury5v4
  51. P2 18:53Shot by Semin, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:29Shot by Staal, saved by Fleury
  55. P3 1:38Shot by Letang, saved by Peters
  56. P3 3:08Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Peters
  57. P3 3:53Shot by Gerbe, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 5:58Shot by Vitale, saved by Peters
  59. P3 6:43Shot by Kunitz, saved by Peters
  60. P3 7:11Goal by Megna (Crosby, Orpik)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Sekera, Gerbe, Faulk · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby, Megna

  61. P3 7:56Shot by Murphy, saved by Fleury
  62. P3 9:41D'Agostini: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Semin, Staal, Gerbe, Murphy · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, D'Agostini, Sutter

  63. P3 10:12Gerbe: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Semin, Staal, Gerbe, Murphy, Lindholm · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Crosby

  64. P3 14:14Shot by Sutter, saved by Peters
  65. P3 14:15Shot by Sutter, saved by Peters
  66. P3 16:44Shot by Orpik, saved by Peters
  67. P3 16:50Shot by Jokinen, saved by Peters
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final