Tue, Oct 29, 2013·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 1, Phoenix Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 09 | 015 | 118 | 142 |
| PHX | 017 | 210 | 16 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 18:19PHXDerek MorrisAssists: Kyle Chipchura, Andy Miele · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 19:54PHXShane DoanPPGWGAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Keith Yandle · Slap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P3 5:38PHXKyle ChipchuraAssists: David Moss, Andy Miele · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–3
- P3 16:39LAKJarret StollPPUnassisted · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 3:08PHXDerek Morris: Roughing2 min
- P1 6:04LAKMike Richards: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:03LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:03PHXPaul Bissonnette: Diving2 min
- P1 11:46LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:23PHXRob Klinkhammer: High sticking2 min
- P1 15:23PHXRob Klinkhammer: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:23LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:51LAKJake Muzzin: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:53LAKJarret Stoll: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P2 3:48LAKDaniel Carcillo: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:48PHXKyle Chipchura: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:50LAKJustin Williams: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 14:50PHXZbynek Michalek: Boarding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Chipchura
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Kopitar – King11:28
xG 0.74–0.30 (71%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – Carcillo5:43
xG 0.34–0.03 (93%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Stoll – Brown – Clifford4:23
xG 0.36–0.09 (81%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Lewis – Clifford – Nolan6:01
xG 0.16–0.04 (80%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRegehr – Doughty10:43
xG 0.89–0.29 (75%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- Greene – Muzzin9:25
xG 0.52–0.12 (82%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Voynov6:53
xG 0.43–0.17 (72%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Chipchura – Miele4:04
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 2–0
- Ribeiro – Vrbata – Boedker8:59
xG 0.44–0.33 (57%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Chipchura – Szwarz2:08
xG 0.12–0.02 (88%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Klinkhammer12:46
xG 0.41–0.70 (37%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Stone10:38
xG 0.42–0.16 (73%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson14:46
xG 0.32–0.52 (38%)attempts 10–22goals 0–0
- Morris – Yandle12:57
xG 0.37–0.80 (32%)attempts 14–17goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).