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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 9, 2013·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Florida Panthers 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Goc, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Ryan, saved by Thomas
  4. P1 1:45Goal by Turris (Ryan)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Wiercioch · FLA Weaver, Fleischmann, Bergenheim, Gilroy, Bjugstad

  5. P1 1:47Kassian: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Kassian, Wiercioch, Grant, Conacher · FLA Barch, Bergenheim, Matthias, Kulikov, Gudbranson

  6. P1 1:47Barch: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Kassian, Wiercioch, Grant, Conacher · FLA Barch, Bergenheim, Matthias, Kulikov, Gudbranson

  7. P1 2:04Goal by Zibanejad, unassisted+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Wiercioch, Grant, Conacher, Zibanejad · FLA Fleischmann, Bergenheim, Matthias, Kulikov, Gudbranson

  8. P1 2:03Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Thomas
  9. P1 2:17Shot by Upshall, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 2:40Shot by Michalek, saved by Thomas
  11. P1 4:04Goal by Bjugstad (Kopecky)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen · FLA Kopecky, Bergenheim, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Gudbranson

  12. P1 4:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Thomas
  13. P1 5:41Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lehner
  14. P1 7:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Thomas
  15. P1 7:13Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Thomas
  16. P1 7:53Shot by Matthias, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 7:59Shot by Gilbert, saved by Lehner
  18. P1 9:36Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 9:38Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 10:49Shot by Matthias, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 15:08Shot by Barkov, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 16:24Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Thomas
  23. P1 17:29Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Lehner
  24. P1 18:13Shot by Neil, saved by Thomas
  25. P1 18:53Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Thomas
  26. P1 19:58Shot by Phillips, saved by Thomas
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:57Shot by Versteeg, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 1:06Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 1:35Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 2:20Shot by Spezza, saved by Thomas
  33. P2 4:15Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Greening, Turris, Karlsson, Borowiecki · FLA Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Barkov

  34. P2 4:15Upshall: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Greening, Turris, Karlsson, Borowiecki · FLA Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Barkov

  35. P2 4:15Upshall: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Greening, Turris, Karlsson, Borowiecki · FLA Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Barkov

  36. P2 4:27Shot by Goc, saved by Lehner5v4
  37. P2 4:54Shot by Spezza, saved by Thomas5v4
  38. P2 4:57Gudbranson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Spezza, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson · FLA Fleischmann, Matthias, Kulikov, Gudbranson

  39. P2 5:44Shot by Karlsson, saved by Thomas5v3
  40. P2 5:52Goal by MacArthur (Karlsson, Turris)5v3+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson · FLA Weaver, Goc, Gilbert

  41. P2 6:36Shot by Phillips, saved by Thomas5v4
  42. P2 6:46Shot by Spezza, saved by Thomas5v4
  43. P2 8:03Shot by Ryan, saved by Thomas
  44. P2 9:43Shot by Turris, saved by Thomas
  45. P2 10:12Shot by Spezza, saved by Thomas
  46. P2 11:09Conacher: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Michalek, Wiercioch, Conacher, Zibanejad · FLA Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Barkov

  47. P2 13:22Shot by Gilroy, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 13:32Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Thomas
  49. P2 14:11Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 15:08Shot by Turris, saved by Thomas
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:12Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Smith, Borowiecki · FLA Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Barkov

  54. P3 0:12Gudbranson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Smith, Borowiecki · FLA Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Barkov

  55. P3 0:58Shot by Ryan, saved by Thomas
  56. P3 1:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Thomas
  57. P3 3:07Shot by Barkov, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 3:12Shot by Campbell, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 3:42Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 4:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Thomas
  61. P3 4:57Neil: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Neil, MacArthur, Wiercioch, Grant · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Kopecky, Goc, Gilbert

  62. P3 5:20Shot by Spezza, saved by Thomas4v5
  63. P3 5:40Phillips: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Greening, Grant, Cowen · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Kopecky, Goc, Gilbert

  64. P3 5:46Shot by Gilbert, saved by Lehner3v5
  65. P3 7:27Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Lehner4v5
  66. P3 7:50Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 10:08Goal by Goc (Gilroy)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Zibanejad · FLA Weaver, Boyes, Kopecky, Goc, Gilroy

  68. P3 9:34Shot by Kopecky, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 11:31Shot by Versteeg, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 12:10Shot by Conacher, saved by Thomas
  71. P3 13:02Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Thomas
  72. P3 13:06MacArthur: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Wiercioch · FLA Goc, Fleischmann, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Gudbranson

  73. P3 14:46Shot by Grant, saved by Thomas4v5
  74. P3 15:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Thomas
  75. P3 16:01Shot by Versteeg, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 16:02Cowen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Spezza, MacArthur, Ryan, Cowen · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Gilbert, Versteeg

  77. P3 19:30Gudbranson: Boarding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Wiercioch, Cowen · FLA Fleischmann, Bergenheim, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  78. P3 19:39Shot by Phillips, saved by Thomas5v4
  79. P3 19:54Shot by Kulikov, saved by Lehner
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final