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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 9, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  3. P1 3:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 3:51Goal by Zetterberg, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, DeKeyser · TBL St. Louis, Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Gudas

  5. P1 5:39Shot by Sustr, saved by Howard
  6. P1 5:52Shot by Carle, saved by Howard
  7. P1 6:25Shot by Connolly, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:49Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 7:41Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard
  10. P1 10:11Shot by Malone, saved by Howard
  11. P1 10:11Goal by Malone (Carle, Thompson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Miller, Lashoff, Glendening, DeKeyser · TBL Malone, Carle, Thompson, Killorn, Gudas

  12. P1 10:40Shot by Eaves, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 10:53Datsyuk: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, DeKeyser · TBL St. Louis, Filppula, Carle, Stamkos, Gudas

  14. P1 12:01Shot by Purcell, saved by Howard4v5
  15. P1 14:55Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 15:23Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  17. P1 15:28Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  18. P1 15:43Shot by Purcell, saved by Howard
  19. P1 16:28Shot by Malone, saved by Howard
  20. P1 18:31Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  21. P1 19:32Shot by Miller, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 19:51Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard
  26. P2 1:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard
  27. P2 1:58Shot by Lashoff, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 3:24Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  29. P2 4:05Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 4:33Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard
  31. P2 5:07Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 5:09Sustr: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Abdelkader, Andersson, Lashoff, Ouellet · TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Panik, Sustr

  33. P2 7:04Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop5v4
  34. P2 7:11Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 7:22Purcell: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, DeKeyser · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Stamkos, Barberio, Sustr

  36. P2 7:30Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop5v4
  37. P2 7:38Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop5v4
  38. P2 8:46Thompson: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v4

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Eaves, Kindl, Andersson, Tatar · TBL Filppula, Carle, Thompson, Gudas

  39. P2 9:21Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop5v3
  40. P2 9:54Shot by Kindl, saved by Bishop5v4
  41. P2 10:54Shot by Kindl, saved by Bishop5v4
  42. P2 11:43Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop5v4
  43. P2 12:35Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Bishop5v4
  44. P2 12:50Goal by Stamkos (Hedman)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall · TBL Filppula, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman, Sustr

  45. P2 13:33Quincey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Eaves, Quincey, Kindl, Helm · TBL Filppula, Carle, Purcell, Gudas, Connolly

  46. P2 16:56Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 17:42Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  48. P2 17:56Shot by Purcell, saved by Howard
  49. P2 18:12Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  50. P2 18:27Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 19:10Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:29Shot by Eaves, saved by Bishop
  55. P3 3:51Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 6:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  57. P3 8:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  58. P3 8:49Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  59. P3 11:45Cleary: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Cleary, Kronwall, Eaves, Andersson, DeKeyser · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Johnson, Panik, Palat, Sustr

  60. P3 12:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard4v5
  61. P3 13:21Shot by Stamkos, saved by Howard4v5
  62. P3 14:16Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 14:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  64. P3 15:48Goal by Zetterberg (DeKeyser)+36 pts WP

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, DeKeyser · TBL Brewer, Filppula, Purcell, Connolly, Sustr

  65. P3 16:29Shot by Filppula, saved by Howard
  66. P3 17:21Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 19:11Shot by Panik, saved by Howard
  68. P3 19:24Shot by Salo, saved by Howard
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:51Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard4v4
  72. OT 1:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard4v4
  73. OT 1:56Shot by Palat, saved by Howard4v4
  74. OT 3:51Goal by Purcell (Panik)4v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Miller, Kindl, Helm · TBL Brewer, Carle, Purcell, Panik

  75. OT 3:51Period end
  76. OT 3:51Final