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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 12, 2013·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Ottawa Senators 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 74% of the time.

OTT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:37Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 3:11Shot by Grossmann, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 3:25Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 3:43Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 4:12Shot by Spezza, saved by Mason
  8. P1 4:18Shot by Conacher, saved by Mason
  9. P1 6:08Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 6:23Shot by MacArthur, saved by Mason
  11. P1 6:31Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Mason
  12. P1 8:06Streit: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Corvo, Spezza, Michalek, Turris, Wiercioch, Conacher · PHI Streit, Grossmann, Downie, Read, Couturier

  13. P1 8:39Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason5v4
  14. P1 9:47Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Mason5v4
  15. P1 11:21Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  16. P1 14:47Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  17. P1 15:39Shot by MacArthur, saved by Mason
  18. P1 16:24Goal by Read (Downie, Couturier)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Corvo, Spezza, Michalek, Wiercioch, Conacher · PHI Streit, Grossmann, Downie, Read, Couturier

  19. P1 16:41Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  20. P1 17:16Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 19:19Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 19:43Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:28Goal by Voracek (Hartnell, Giroux)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek

  26. P2 1:05Shot by Methot, saved by Mason
  27. P2 2:02Shot by Conacher, saved by Mason
  28. P2 4:32Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Mason
  29. P2 4:36Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  30. P2 4:44Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 6:23Shot by Cowen, saved by Mason
  32. P2 8:40Shot by Timonen, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 9:03Borowiecki: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Spezza, Methot, Smith, Borowiecki · PHI Downie, Schenn, Gustafsson, Read, Couturier

  34. P2 9:08Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson4v5
  35. P2 10:33Goal by Voracek (Simmonds, Giroux)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Smith, Grant, Cowen · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds

  36. P2 12:09Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  37. P2 13:33Shot by Spezza, saved by Mason
  38. P2 13:33Conacher: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Corvo, Spezza, Michalek, Wiercioch, Conacher · PHI Streit, Grossmann, Downie, Read, Couturier

  39. P2 17:21Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 17:25Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 18:07Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  42. P2 18:54Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 19:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 19:58Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:32Shot by Grossmann, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 2:34Shot by Methot, saved by Mason
  49. P3 3:19Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Mason
  50. P3 3:37Shot by Timonen, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 3:57Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 5:02Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  53. P3 6:43Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 7:57Goal by Lecavalier (Schenn)+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Smith, Borowiecki · PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  55. P3 9:34Shot by Streit, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 11:57Shot by Downie, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 11:59Michalek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Corvo, Spezza, Michalek, Wiercioch, Conacher · PHI Coburn, Downie, Gustafsson, Read, Couturier

  58. P3 12:05Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson4v5
  59. P3 13:32Goal by Schenn (Lecavalier, Gustafsson)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Karlsson, Grant, Borowiecki · PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Schenn, Gustafsson, Read

  60. P3 14:57Shot by Hartnell, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 15:10Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  62. P3 16:51Shot by Rosehill, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 18:11Shot by MacArthur, saved by Mason
  64. P3 19:05Shot by Cowen, saved by Mason
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final