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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 12, 2013·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Anaheim Ducks 2, Florida Panthers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.

FLA winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Upshall, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:40Goal by Cogliano (Winnik, Smith-Pelly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Mottau, Upshall, Versteeg, Barkov · ANA Allen, Winnik, Cogliano, Smith-Pelly, Fowler

  4. P1 1:35Shot by Boyes, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 4:30Shot by Weaver, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:27Shot by Lindholm, saved by Thomas
  7. P1 5:57Shot by Perreault, saved by Thomas
  8. P1 5:58Shot by Penner, saved by Thomas
  9. P1 8:27Shot by Etem, saved by Thomas
  10. P1 11:27Shot by Goc, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 11:48Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 12:38Shot by Barkov, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 13:00Shot by Penner, saved by Thomas
  14. P1 13:23Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Thomas
  15. P1 14:26Goal by Lindholm (Bonino, Etem)+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Barch, Gilbert, Bergenheim, Matthias · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Bonino, Etem, Lindholm

  16. P1 15:08Vatanen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Upshall, Versteeg, Kulikov, Barkov · ANA Allen, Winnik, Cogliano, Bonino, Vatanen

  17. P1 16:45Shot by Upshall, saved by Andersen5v4
  18. P1 17:32Shot by Boyes, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 18:53Shot by Cogliano, saved by Thomas
  20. P1 19:51Shot by Perry, saved by Thomas
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:57Shot by Penner, saved by Thomas
  24. P2 2:25Shot by Selanne, saved by Thomas
  25. P2 2:50Shot by Etem, saved by Thomas
  26. P2 4:00Shot by Lindholm, saved by Thomas
  27. P2 4:47Shot by Boyes, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 5:12Shot by Fowler, saved by Thomas
  29. P2 5:16Shot by Perry, saved by Thomas
  30. P2 6:12Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 6:36Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 7:57Weaver: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Barch, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc, Gilbert · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Bonino, Etem, Lindholm

  33. P2 10:16Huberdeau: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Mottau, Weaver, Kopecky, Goc · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Cogliano, Perreault, Sbisa

  34. P2 11:36Shot by Fowler, saved by Thomas4v5
  35. P2 12:35Shot by Selanne, saved by Thomas
  36. P2 13:00Shot by Allen, saved by Thomas
  37. P2 13:23Shot by Gilbert, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 13:28Goal by Matthias (Campbell, Barch)+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Barch, Gilbert, Bergenheim, Matthias · ANA Beauchemin, Winnik, Cogliano, Smith-Pelly, Lindholm

  39. P2 14:38Goal by Upshall (Gudbranson, Huberdeau)+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Mottau, Boyes, Upshall, Gudbranson, Barkov · ANA Beauchemin, Perry, Penner, Perreault, Lindholm

  40. P2 17:36Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 17:37Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 18:41Shot by Goc, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 18:50Shot by Etem, saved by Thomas
  44. P2 19:15Shot by Penner, saved by Thomas
  45. P2 19:38Shot by Gilbert, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 19:38Lindholm: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Bjugstad, Huberdeau · ANA Beauchemin, Perry, Penner, Perreault, Lindholm

  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 1:25Shot by Kulikov, saved by Andersen5v4
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Gilbert, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 3:51Shot by Matthias, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 4:27Shot by Upshall, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 4:29Goal by Boyes (Upshall)+29 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Upshall, Barkov · ANA Allen, Perry, Penner, Perreault, Sbisa

  54. P3 5:10Shot by Rakell, saved by Thomas
  55. P3 5:18Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Thomas
  56. P3 5:58Shot by Campbell, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 6:18Shot by Kulikov, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 7:10Shot by Etem, saved by Thomas
  59. P3 7:24Shot by Lindholm, saved by Thomas
  60. P3 7:45Shot by Fowler, saved by Thomas
  61. P3 8:03Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Thomas
  62. P3 8:33Shot by Cogliano, saved by Thomas
  63. P3 9:12Allen: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Boyes, Kopecky, Goc, Gilbert, Versteeg · ANA Allen, Perry, Cogliano, Bonino, Vatanen

  64. P3 10:54Shot by Etem, saved by Thomas5v4
  65. P3 12:35Shot by Rakell, saved by Thomas
  66. P3 13:38Shot by Perry, saved by Thomas
  67. P3 15:33Beauchemin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Gilbert, Upshall, Bjugstad, Huberdeau · ANA Selanne, Beauchemin, Maroon, Rakell, Lindholm

  68. P3 16:40Upshall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Fleischmann, Upshall, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Gudbranson · ANA Perry, Perreault, Lovejoy, Sbisa, Etem

  69. P3 17:24Shot by Smith-Pelly, saved by Thomas4v4
  70. P3 18:06Shot by Etem, saved by Thomas4v5
  71. P3 19:53Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Thomas5v6
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final