Fri, Nov 15, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
10%
38%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:26 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:26 | 0.16 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:52 | 0.55 | 87.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.09 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:12 | 0.40 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:40 | 0.26 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.14 | 75.8% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.11 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.02 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.29 | 68.4% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.13 | 68.3% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.03 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.20 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.07 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:42 | 0.00 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:10 | 0.05 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:56 | 0.00 | 79.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.16 | +0.2 | 59:11 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:05 | 0.42 | 29.1% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.07 | 22.1% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.10 | 35.7% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.77 | 53.9% | +45.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.05 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.02 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:23 | 0.20 | 31.3% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.16 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:49 | 0.51 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.01 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.00 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.12 | 22.4% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.05 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:30 | 0.07 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:42 | 0.03 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:31 | 0.00 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.50 | +1.5 | 60:00 |