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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 15, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Stafford, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 2:56Ranger: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McBain, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR Smithson, McClement, Ranger, Fraser, Kulemin

  4. P1 3:31Shot by McBain, saved by Bernier5v4
  5. P1 3:42Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier5v4
  6. P1 4:13Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bernier5v4
  7. P1 4:47Shot by Leino, saved by Bernier5v4
  8. P1 7:06Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  9. P1 7:26Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  10. P1 8:36Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 11:54Shot by Ott, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 14:12Shot by Hodgson, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 14:36Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  14. P1 15:19Shot by Ranger, saved by Miller
  15. P1 15:57Shot by Raymond, saved by Miller
  16. P1 18:51Kessel: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk · TOR Lupul, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner

  17. P1 19:28Shot by McBain, saved by Bernier5v4
  18. P1 19:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier5v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:26Shot by Tallinder, saved by Bernier
  22. P2 3:08Shot by McCormick, saved by Bernier
  23. P2 5:22Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  24. P2 6:04Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  25. P2 6:25Goal by Smith (Clarkson, Raymond)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, Pysyk · TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Raymond, Smith, Gunnarsson

  26. P2 6:44Shot by McClement, saved by Miller
  27. P2 7:47Shot by McCormick, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 8:04Fraser: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, McCormick, Scott, Tropp, Myers · TOR Ranger, Lupul, Fraser, Kessel, van Riemsdyk

  29. P2 9:39Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bernier5v4
  30. P2 9:45Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier5v4
  31. P2 9:45Goal by Ott (Myers, Pysyk)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Stafford, Leino, Myers, Pysyk · TOR McClement, Ranger, Raymond, Franson

  32. P2 11:19Shot by Stafford, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 12:01Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  34. P2 12:02Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  35. P2 12:56Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McBain, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR Orr, Franson, McLaren, Gardiner, Ashton

  36. P2 13:18Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 14:07Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller4v5
  38. P2 15:22Goal by Foligno (Ott, Stafford)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Foligno, Pysyk · TOR Smithson, McClement, Ranger, Fraser, Kulemin

  39. P2 16:13Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  40. P2 13:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  41. P2 17:52Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 18:20Shot by Ashton, saved by Miller
  43. P2 19:06Shot by Clarkson, saved by Miller
  44. P2 19:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  45. P2 19:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  46. P2 19:44Shot by Ranger, saved by Miller
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:55Shot by Clarkson, saved by Miller
  50. P3 1:17Shot by Ott, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 2:13Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  52. P3 3:07Shot by Ashton, saved by Miller
  53. P3 3:21Shot by Stafford, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 3:37Shot by Stafford, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 4:51Shot by Foligno, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 5:43Stafford: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, McBain, Hodgson, Ristolainen · TOR Smithson, McClement, Phaneuf, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson

  57. P3 7:21Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller4v5
  58. P3 10:34Shot by Myers, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 11:26Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  60. P3 11:38Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  61. P3 12:40Shot by Ennis, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 12:49Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 14:23Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  64. P3 15:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  65. P3 15:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  66. P3 15:25Tallinder: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Foligno, Pysyk, Flynn, Girgensons · TOR Phaneuf, Raymond, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson

  67. P3 16:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  68. P3 18:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  69. P3 18:18Shot by Clarkson, saved by Miller
  70. P3 19:32Goal by Ehrhoff (Pysyk)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Ennis, Pysyk · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk

  71. P3 19:41Shot by Gardiner, saved by Miller
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final