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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 16, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Florida Panthers 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.

COL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Stastny, saved by Thomas
  3. P1 1:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  4. P1 1:21Shot by Landeskog, saved by Thomas
  5. P1 1:45Shot by Gilroy, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 1:59Shot by Hunwick, saved by Thomas
  7. P1 2:21Shot by Duchene, saved by Thomas
  8. P1 2:26Shot by Parenteau, saved by Thomas
  9. P1 3:42Huberdeau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon · FLA Mottau, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Huberdeau, Barkov

  10. P1 6:48Shot by Boyes, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 7:54Shot by Bordeleau, saved by Thomas
  12. P1 7:57Landeskog: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon · FLA Fleischmann, Kulikov, Bjugstad, Gudbranson, Huberdeau

  13. P1 8:11Shot by Kulikov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  14. P1 9:21Shot by Gilbert, saved by Varlamov4v5
  15. P1 9:22Shot by Upshall, saved by Varlamov4v5
  16. P1 9:30Shot by Cliche, saved by Thomas4v5
  17. P1 10:13Shot by Kopecky, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 10:15Shot by Winchester, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 10:32Parenteau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Hunwick, O'Reilly, Duchene · FLA Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Gilroy, Gudbranson

  20. P1 12:40Goal by Boyes (Upshall, Gilbert)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Hejda, O'Reilly, Duchene · FLA Boyes, Gilbert, Upshall, Gudbranson, Barkov

  21. P1 14:39Shot by Talbot, saved by Thomas
  22. P1 15:02Shot by Matthias, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 16:22Shot by Boyes, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 16:31Shot by Parenteau, saved by Thomas
  25. P1 17:37Shot by Gilroy, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 17:39Guenin: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Guenin, Stastny, Holden, Landeskog, MacKinnon · FLA Mottau, Gilroy, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov

  27. P1 18:14Shot by Kulikov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  28. P1 19:19Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Varlamov4v5
  29. P1 19:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:32Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Varlamov4v5
  33. P2 1:15Goal by Campbell (Gilbert, Upshall)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Johnson, McGinn, Holden · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Upshall, Barkov

  34. P2 2:02Shot by Winchester, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 3:28Shot by Matthias, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 4:11Shot by Winchester, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 5:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  38. P2 6:00Shot by Barch, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 7:09Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 7:13Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 7:23Goal by O'Reilly (Parenteau, Sarich)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Mitchell, Hunwick, O'Reilly · FLA Campbell, Kopecky, Goc, Gilbert, Winchester

  42. P2 8:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  43. P2 9:50Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 9:58Shot by Gilbert, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 10:12Shot by McGinn, saved by Thomas
  46. P2 11:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  47. P2 11:51Hejda: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Talbot, Hejda, Johnson, Duchene, MacKinnon · FLA Campbell, Mottau, Fleischmann, Upshall, Bjugstad

  48. P2 13:33Shot by Gilroy, saved by Varlamov4v5
  49. P2 13:41Shot by Goc, saved by Varlamov4v5
  50. P2 13:53Goal by Kopecky (Gilbert, Thomas)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Talbot, Hejda, Hunwick, O'Reilly · FLA Kopecky, Goc, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Gilroy

  51. P2 17:22Shot by Talbot, saved by Thomas
  52. P2 18:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  53. P2 18:53Shot by McGinn, saved by Thomas
  54. P2 19:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Thomas
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P2 13:40Shot by Goc, saved by Varlamov4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Thomas
  59. P3 1:36Shot by Landeskog, saved by Thomas
  60. P3 3:22Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 5:08Shot by Cliche, saved by Thomas
  62. P3 6:29Shot by Holden, saved by Thomas
  63. P3 7:30Shot by Landeskog, saved by Thomas
  64. P3 8:25Shot by Talbot, saved by Thomas
  65. P3 8:26Shot by Talbot, saved by Thomas
  66. P3 9:03Shot by Mitchell, saved by Thomas
  67. P3 9:05Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thomas
  68. P3 11:25Shot by Boyes, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 11:39Shot by Boyes, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 12:15Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 12:16Goal by Huberdeau (Bjugstad, Campbell)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Parenteau, Holden, O'Reilly, MacKinnon · FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Bjugstad, Huberdeau

  72. P3 17:33Shot by Cliche, saved by Thomas
  73. P3 18:24Shot by Parenteau, saved by Thomas
  74. P3 18:48Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  75. P3 19:08Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Thomas
  76. P3 19:59Shot by Landeskog, saved by Thomas
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final