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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 16, 2013·Pepsi Center, Denver

Florida Panthers 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 64% of the time.

COL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kopecky–Goc–WinchesterFleischmann–Bjugstad–HuberdeauBoyes–Upshall–BarkovBarch–Matthias–HayesBoyes–Matthias–BarkovCampbell–GilbertKulikov–GudbransonMottau–GilroyGilroy–GudbransonMottau–Gudbranson
Stastny–McGinn–Landeskog1:480.00–0.003:000.11–0.230:300.11–0.001:300.00–0.102:040.08–0.062:030.15–0.000:500.02–0.00
Stastny–Landeskog–MacKinnon0:400.00–0.272:490.07–0.071:170.07–0.002:230.00–0.002:060.09–0.201:280.06–0.20
Parenteau–O'Reilly–Duchene1:430.00–0.051:360.10–0.191:070.24–0.001:210.27–0.010:580.10–0.002:350.04–0.04
Parenteau–Mitchell–O'Reilly2:330.03–0.030:570.30–0.020:380.00–0.002:050.33–0.022:100.00–0.030:360.00–0.00
Bordeleau–McLeod–Cliche1:130.05–0.000:300.06–0.002:060.00–0.031:380.06–0.000:370.00–0.001:020.06–0.08
Talbot–Duchene–MacKinnon1:590.12–0.000:540.00–0.001:360.12–0.001:110.02–0.001:120.00–0.00
Parenteau–O'Reilly–MacKinnon1:170.00–0.000:380.12–0.380:540.01–0.001:360.00–0.380:350.01–0.000:410.00–0.00
Talbot–Mitchell–McGinn1:020.00–0.030:420.00–0.000:440.04–0.021:440.00–0.030:310.04–0.02
Talbot–McLeod–McGinn0:570.40–0.001:120.00–0.270:480.00–0.271:090.40–0.00
Hejda–Johnson2:530.00–0.306:210.28–0.301:230.09–0.001:000.00–0.273:160.11–0.106:550.17–0.562:170.01–0.00
Guenin–Holden4:560.45–0.031:330.03–0.081:280.01–0.001:530.06–0.023:360.05–0.003:290.03–0.034:080.48–0.110:310.02–0.00
Sarich–Hunwick1:520.03–0.050:490.32–0.023:310.29–0.073:150.32–0.214:460.67–0.031:070.10–0.004:260.20–0.330:340.02–0.00
Guenin–Johnson0:500.04–0.000:300.08–0.000:350.00–0.000:300.04–0.000:370.08–0.00
Sarich–Holden0:430.02–0.380:330.00–0.000:420.00–0.380:410.00–0.00
Guenin–Hunwick0:490.06–0.001:050.06–0.00
Hejda–Hunwick0:530.00–0.040:470.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMitchell FMcGinn FTalbot FStastny FMacKinnon FLandeskog FParenteau FDuchene FO'Reilly FCliche FMcLeod FBordeleau FHolden DGuenin DJohnson DHejda DSarich DHunwick DVarlamov GWinchester FGoc FKopecky FBjugstad FFleischmann FHuberdeau FBarkov FBoyes FUpshall FHayes FMatthias FBarch FCampbell DGilbert DGudbranson DKulikov DMottau DGilroy DThomas G
COLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA3125:430:502:4473
Tom GilbertFLA3122:410:441:2641
Jan HejdaCOL2922:250:461:1744
Erik GudbransonFLA3020:310:411:2127
Erik JohnsonCOL2820:290:441:5151
Dmitry KulikovFLA2919:590:411:2248
Nate GueninCOL2919:500:411:1766
Nick HoldenCOL3119:220:371:0754
Cory SarichCOL2519:190:461:3903
Ryan O'ReillyCOL2418:280:461:3834
Brad BoyesFLA2618:130:421:1332
Tomas FleischmannFLA2517:430:431:2813
Nick BjugstadFLA2717:400:391:2833
Aleksander BarkovFLA2717:380:391:1432
Matt HunwickCOL2317:270:461:2241
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2117:140:491:3812
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2217:090:471:3923
Paul StastnyCOL2217:000:461:2433
Marcel GocFLA2616:570:391:0533
Tomas KopeckyFLA2616:550:390:5835
Scottie UpshallFLA2416:540:421:2222
PA ParenteauCOL2016:500:511:3443
Max TalbotCOL2216:300:451:3653
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2416:230:411:1841
Jamie McGinnCOL1915:580:501:2771
Matt GilroyFLA2515:340:371:4811
Mike MottauFLA2615:320:361:4823
Jesse WinchesterFLA2515:180:371:0134
John MitchellCOL2013:390:411:1544
Matt DucheneCOL1812:360:421:1420
Marc-Andre ClicheCOL1610:250:391:2253
Cody McLeodCOL1210:110:511:2740
Shawn MatthiasFLA129:290:471:2421
Krys BarchFLA107:300:451:2110
Jimmy HayesFLA107:200:441:2211
Patrick BordeleauCOL75:340:481:0220