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Ice Lab

Centre · #17

Jesse Winchester

Ottawa Senators Florida Panthers(traded during the season)
Age
43
Shoots
Right
Height
185 cm
Weight
93 kg
Born
Long Sault, CAN
Draft
Undrafted

Career · 4 seasons

Games
208
Goals
17
Points
52
TOI per game
11:05
xGF% (5v5)
51.0%
Goals above expected
−13.2

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10OTT5221113−110:01772.6%15.5–
2010–11OTT724913−910:501183.4%010.755.7%
2011–12OTT32268+210:38523.8%04.844.8%
After a break: 2013–14FLA529918−212:441009.0%19.248.5%
Total2 teams208173552−1011:053474.9%230.251.0%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.850100150200
6m8m10m12m14m50100150200Game

Player card

How 4 seasons compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

40th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.4422nd pct
  • Assists /600.9150th pct
  • ixG /600.7964th pct
  • Goals above expected−13.23rd pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)51.0%65th pct
  • CF% (5v5)52.6%78th pct
  • Relative xGF%+2.375th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.0546th pct

Usage

4th line
  • TOI per game11:0521st pct
  • PP time share3.6%24th pct
  • Offensive zone starts38.1%12th pct
  • Quality of competition23.4%24th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Winchester wins the draw over 4 seasons, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 812+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

54.5%

701–586 · #28 of 178 regulars, 85th percentile

Against an average centre

54.6%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

+59

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

6.5

1,287 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

57%189 · +0.849%132 · +0.654%213 · +2.735%57 · +1.370%66 · −1.155%47 · +0.655%69 · +0.153%182 · +3.256%332 · +0.3Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone52.5% 181–164
  • Neutral zone55.6% 238–190
  • Defensive zone54.9% 282–232

By strength

  • Even strength56.0% 571–448
  • Power play42.3% 11–15
  • Shorthanded49.6% 117–119

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +11 after a win, −14 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.2 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–1037755.4%55.9%
2010–1154555.6%55.4%
2011–1223553.6%53.8%
2013–1413048.5%49.4%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−13.2 goals above expected

010203050100150200Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−200+20+40+60+80