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Ice Lab

Centre · #28

Paul Gaustad

Buffalo Sabres Nashville Predators(traded during the season)
Age
44
Shoots
Left
Height
196 cm
Weight
103 kg
Born
Fargo, USA
Draft
2000, round 7, #220 (BUF)

Career · 2009–10 to 2015–16

Games
450
Goals
49
Points
120
TOI per game
13:58
xGF% (5v5)
48.6%
Goals above expected
−2.7

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10BUF65121022−715:4511110.8%512.2–
2010–11BUF81121931+715:0811710.3%213.257.9%
2011–12BUF5671017−115:056211.3%05.746.4%
2011–12NSH14044013:31130.0%01.544.9%
2011–12All teams7071421−114:46759.3%07.246.2%
2012–13NSH23235−115:13355.7%02.748.8%
2013–14NSH75101121−613:487413.5%08.646.0%
2014–15NSH7341014+712:26547.4%04.345.9%
2015–16NSH63246−411:15464.3%03.638.6%
Total2 teams4504971120−513:585129.6%751.748.6%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.81100200300400
10m12m14m16m18m20m100200300400Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2015–16 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

19th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.4727th pct
  • Assists /600.6832nd pct
  • ixG /600.4915th pct
  • Goals above expected−2.736th pct

Play-driving

Extra / AHL
  • xGF% (5v5)48.6%44th pct
  • CF% (5v5)44.9%13th pct
  • Relative xGF%−4.022nd pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.3612th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game13:5853rd pct
  • PP time share4.9%29th pct
  • Offensive zone starts20.3%0th pct
  • Quality of competition24.0%51st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Gaustad wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2015–16, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1339+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

57.6%

3957–2907 · #7 of 193 regulars, 97th percentile

Against an average centre

58.1%

Opponents won 50.4% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.6% against them.

Wins above average

+553

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

15.3

6,864 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

61%1038 · +0.560%596 · +0.651%585 · +1.667%206 · −0.154%167 · +0.263%253 · +0.548%231 · +0.161%1979 · +1.454%1809 · +1.2Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone55.4% 650–523
  • Neutral zone59.7% 1131–764
  • Defensive zone57.3% 2176–1620

By strength

  • Even strength58.0% 2899–2101
  • Power play63.8% 219–124
  • Shorthanded54.9% 822–675

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +3 after a win, −20 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.0 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–10103857.4%58.0%
2010–11115859.8%59.7%
2011–12115057.3%57.7%
2012–1344959.7%60.9%
2013–14120058.0%58.4%
2014–15109756.4%56.9%
2015–1677255.3%55.5%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−2.7 goals above expected

01020304050100200300400Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100