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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 19, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

New York Islanders 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

New York Islanders

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Shot by Hickey, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 0:22Goal by Smith (Lupul)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Clarkson, Smith, Gunnarsson · NYI Okposo, Hickey, Ness, Tavares, Nelson

  4. P1 2:25Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 2:49Shot by Franson, saved by Poulin
  6. P1 2:53Shot by Boulton, saved by Bernier
  7. P1 3:23Shot by Kulemin, saved by Poulin
  8. P1 3:50Shot by Raymond, saved by Poulin
  9. P1 4:16Shot by McDonald, saved by Bernier
  10. P1 4:55Shot by Smith, saved by Poulin
  11. P1 6:41Shot by Donovan, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 8:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Poulin
  13. P1 9:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 10:09Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 13:15Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 15:02Shot by Regin, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 15:46Shot by Carkner, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 16:53Shot by Raymond, saved by Poulin
  19. P1 18:00Shot by Regin, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 0:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Poulin
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:46Shot by McDonald, saved by Bernier
  24. P2 2:54Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier
  25. P2 3:02Shot by Regin, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 3:07Shot by Bouchard, saved by Bernier
  27. P2 4:49Shot by Kulemin, saved by Poulin
  28. P2 5:40Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  29. P2 9:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Poulin
  30. P2 10:11MacDonald: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Holland, Rielly · NYI Bouchard, Regin, Clutterbuck, MacDonald, Hamonic

  31. P2 11:19Goal by Kessel (Lupul, Phaneuf)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk · NYI Regin, Ness, Hamonic, Cizikas

  32. P2 13:28Shot by Holland, saved by Poulin
  33. P2 14:20Carkner: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Ranger, McLaren, Rielly · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Ness, Martin, Cizikas

  34. P2 14:20McLaren: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Ranger, McLaren, Rielly · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Ness, Martin, Cizikas

  35. P2 15:37Shot by Kulemin, saved by Poulin
  36. P2 16:39Shot by Gardiner, saved by Poulin
  37. P2 17:18Lupul: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Lupul, Clarkson, Franson, Gardiner · NYI Nielsen, McDonald, Bailey, Ness, Donovan

  38. P2 18:08Shot by Okposo, saved by Bernier4v5
  39. P2 18:34Shot by Tavares, saved by Bernier4v5
  40. P2 19:23Shot by Hamonic, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 19:48Goal by Cizikas, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Clarkson, Franson, Smith, Gardiner · NYI McDonald, MacDonald, Hickey, Martin, Cizikas

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:13Shot by Bouchard, saved by Bernier
  45. P3 2:10Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Poulin
  46. P3 2:31Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier
  47. P3 2:48Orr: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Franson, McLaren, Gardiner · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Ness, Martin, Cizikas

  48. P3 2:48Boulton: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Franson, McLaren, Gardiner · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Ness, Martin, Cizikas

  49. P3 3:29Shot by Ness, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 3:39Shot by McClement, saved by Poulin
  51. P3 3:39Goal by Raymond (McClement)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Raymond, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Gardiner · NYI Carkner, Nielsen, Bouchard, Okposo, Ness

  52. P3 4:15Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 4:46Shot by Gardiner, saved by Poulin
  54. P3 5:54Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 5:54Ranger: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Holland, Rielly · NYI Clutterbuck, MacDonald, Hamonic, Cizikas, Nelson

  56. P3 7:00Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier4v5
  57. P3 7:40Shot by Donovan, saved by Bernier4v5
  58. P3 7:51Shot by Bouchard, saved by Bernier4v5
  59. P3 8:55McDonald: Throwing equipment (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Smithson, Orr, Ranger, McLaren, Rielly · NYI Nielsen, McDonald, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin

  60. P3 9:56Shot by Franson, saved by Poulin5v4
  61. P3 10:27Shot by Carkner, saved by Bernier5v4
  62. P3 10:53Shot by Rielly, saved by Poulin5v4
  63. P3 11:01Shot by Clarkson, saved by Poulin
  64. P3 12:37Shot by McDonald, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 12:52Goal by Clarkson (Smith, Lupul)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Clarkson, Smith, Rielly · NYI Carkner, Nielsen, McDonald, Bailey, Hamonic

  66. P3 13:09Shot by Regin, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 15:06Shot by Okposo, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 15:14Goal by Nielsen (Bailey)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Clarkson, Franson, Smith, Gardiner · NYI Nielsen, McDonald, Hickey, Bailey, Donovan

  69. P3 15:26Shot by Okposo, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 16:54Shot by Ness, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 17:17Goal by Kessel (van Riemsdyk, Smith)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Holland · NYI Bouchard, Okposo, Hickey, Hamonic, Tavares

  72. P3 18:14Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 18:26Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 18:54Shot by Gardiner, saved by Poulin
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final