Tue, Nov 19, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Florida Panthers 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 114 | 08 | 111 | 03 | 1 | 336 |
| VAN | 012 | 110 | 14 | 03 | 0 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:43FLABrad BoyesPPAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Scottie Upshall · Backhand, 0.21 xG1–0
- P2 3:26VANChris HigginsAssists: Mike Santorelli, Dan Hamhuis · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–1
- P3 2:45VANJannik HansenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–2
- P3 8:34FLAShawn MatthiasAssists: Nick Bjugstad, Tomas Kopecky · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. VAN Mike Santorelli stopped
- 2. FLA Jonathan Huberdeau scored
- 3. VAN Alexandre Burrows stopped
- 4. FLA Aleksander Barkov stopped
- 5. VAN Chris Higgins stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 2:16VANJannik Hansen: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P1 10:06FLADmitry Kulikov: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:48VANJason Garrison: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 18:27FLAMatt Gilroy: Hooking2 min
- OT 1:01VANChris Higgins: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Goc
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestKopecky – Goc – Matthias2:41
xG 0.61–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Fleischmann – Bjugstad – Huberdeau12:01
xG 0.59–0.19 (76%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Barch – Matthias – Hayes4:21
xG 0.18–0.09 (68%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Boyes – Upshall – Barkov11:37
xG 0.03–0.13 (20%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCampbell – Gilbert20:36
xG 0.75–0.23 (76%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Mottau – Gilroy10:24
xG 0.42–0.23 (64%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Gudbranson14:18
xG 0.60–0.57 (51%)attempts 11–14goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBurrows – Richardson – Kassian3:56
xG 0.21–0.10 (68%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows12:27
xG 0.40–0.30 (57%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Sedin – Kesler – Santorelli5:13
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Higgins – Hansen3:40
xG 0.12–0.22 (35%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestBieksa – Stanton13:18
xG 0.40–0.26 (60%)attempts 10–4goals 1–1
- Bieksa – Edler2:52
xG 0.02–0.04 (32%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Tanev17:13
xG 0.64–0.80 (44%)attempts 17–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).