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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 21, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Smith, saved by Mazanec
  3. P1 1:08Shot by Kessel, saved by Mazanec
  4. P1 1:13Kadri: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · NSH Legwand, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Bourque

  5. P1 2:00Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier4v5
  6. P1 2:56Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier4v5
  7. P1 3:23Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 4:55Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 5:48Goal by Holland (Kulemin, Rielly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Raymond, Kulemin, Holland, Rielly · NSH Legwand, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Bourque

  10. P1 6:26Shot by Legwand, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 6:52Stalberg: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Raymond, Kulemin, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · NSH Fisher, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Bourque

  12. P1 8:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Mazanec5v4
  13. P1 8:57Shot by Clarkson, saved by Mazanec
  14. P1 10:25Klein: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Franson, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Holland · NSH Cullen, Klein, Spaling, Smith, Jones

  15. P1 11:38Shot by Kessel, saved by Mazanec5v4
  16. P1 12:09Shot by Clarkson, saved by Mazanec5v4
  17. P1 12:15Shot by Raymond, saved by Mazanec5v4
  18. P1 12:18Shot by Rielly, saved by Mazanec5v4
  19. P1 12:36Shot by Kadri, saved by Mazanec
  20. P1 13:19Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 15:07Shot by Franson, saved by Mazanec
  22. P1 15:14Shot by Ellis, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 15:55Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 17:21Shot by Clune, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:52Shot by Jones, saved by Bernier
  28. P2 1:25Raymond: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Raymond, Franson, Kulemin, Gardiner, Holland · NSH Legwand, Stalberg, Bartley, Ellis, Bourque

  29. P2 2:01Goal by Jones (Cullen, Wilson)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Smithson, McClement, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson · NSH Cullen, Wilson, Ellis, Smith, Jones

  30. P2 2:18Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier4v5
  31. P2 3:16Shot by Cullen, saved by Bernier4v5
  32. P2 3:47Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier4v5
  33. P2 6:32Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mazanec
  34. P2 6:47Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 8:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Mazanec
  36. P2 8:44Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mazanec
  37. P2 9:52Shot by Smith, saved by Mazanec
  38. P2 10:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 11:14Goal by Cullen (Bourque, Smith)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly · NSH Cullen, Klein, Smith, Bourque, Jones

  40. P2 11:45Shot by Raymond, saved by Mazanec
  41. P2 12:28Shot by Hendricks, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 14:36Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 15:06Shot by Spaling, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 15:19van Riemsdyk: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kadri, Rielly · NSH Cullen, Weber, Spaling, Josi, Smith

  45. P2 16:25Goal by Smith (Wilson, Cullen)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · NSH Cullen, Wilson, Ellis, Smith, Jones

  46. P2 17:26Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 18:43Shot by Kulemin, saved by Mazanec
  48. P2 19:02Shot by Raymond, saved by Mazanec
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:13Shot by Kulemin, saved by Mazanec
  52. P3 3:57Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 4:32Goal by Smith (Cullen, Spaling)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ranger, Lupul, Clarkson, Smith, Rielly · NSH Cullen, Weber, Spaling, Josi, Smith

  54. P3 6:45Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 6:57Shot by Lupul, saved by Mazanec
  56. P3 7:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Mazanec
  57. P3 7:58Shot by Smith, saved by Mazanec
  58. P3 9:53Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 10:16Shot by Clarkson, saved by Mazanec
  60. P3 10:23Shot by Lupul, saved by Mazanec
  61. P3 11:01Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mazanec
  62. P3 14:18Shot by Stalberg, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 14:59Shot by Hendricks, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 15:28Goal by Kadri (Raymond, Rielly)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Orr, Phaneuf, Raymond, Gunnarsson, Kadri · NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Clune, Bartley, Ellis

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final