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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 21, 2013·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 1, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 55% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:43Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:37Tallinder: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hall, Streit, Rosehill, Grossmann, Rinaldo · BUF Tallinder, McCormick, McBain, Scott, Leino

  5. P1 3:24Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller5v4
  6. P1 4:04Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller5v4
  7. P1 4:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Emery5v4
  8. P1 6:34Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller
  9. P1 7:17Shot by Scott, saved by Emery
  10. P1 7:52Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  11. P1 8:10Lecavalier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Downie, Schenn, Schenn, Gustafsson · BUF Ott, Moulson, McBain, McNabb, Foligno

  12. P1 8:20Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller4v5
  13. P1 8:45Shot by Moulson, saved by Emery4v5
  14. P1 9:53Shot by Myers, saved by Emery4v5
  15. P1 11:34Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  16. P1 11:53Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  17. P1 13:13Shot by Moulson, saved by Emery
  18. P1 13:57Shot by Stafford, saved by Emery
  19. P1 14:09Hodgson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Coburn, Downie, Read, Couturier · BUF Ehrhoff, Weber, Hodgson, Ennis, Girgensons

  20. P1 14:53Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller5v4
  21. P1 14:58Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller5v4
  22. P1 15:28McCormick: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Downie, Schenn, Read · BUF Ehrhoff, McCormick, Weber, Girgensons

  23. P1 16:27Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller5v4
  24. P1 16:29Streit: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Lecavalier, Streit, Hartnell, Giroux · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Weber, Hodgson

  25. P1 17:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller4v5
  26. P1 18:12Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery4v5
  27. P1 18:28Goal by Myers (Leino, Ennis)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hall, Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Leino, Myers, Ennis

  28. P1 18:42Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:19Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller
  32. P2 1:27Hartnell: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PHI Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Gustafsson · BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Weber, Adam, Grigorenko

  33. P2 1:48Shot by Moulson, saved by Emery4v5
  34. P2 2:45Shot by Ott, saved by Emery4v5
  35. P2 2:43Shot by Stafford, saved by Emery4v5
  36. P2 3:20Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 3:28Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller4v5
  38. P2 4:23Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Emery4v5
  39. P2 5:01Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller4v5
  40. P2 5:45Myers: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Hartnell, Schenn, Gustafsson · BUF Ott, Myers, Adam, McNabb, Foligno

  41. P2 6:23Ennis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · BUF Tallinder, Hodgson, McNabb, Foligno

  42. P2 6:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller5v3
  43. P2 7:25Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Miller5v3
  44. P2 7:33Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller5v3
  45. P2 8:51Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller
  46. P2 9:00Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  47. P2 9:25Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  48. P2 10:03Shot by Myers, saved by Emery
  49. P2 10:28Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Miller
  50. P2 11:01Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller
  51. P2 11:51Shot by Stafford, saved by Emery
  52. P2 12:30Shot by Grossmann, saved by Miller
  53. P2 14:09Goal by Read (Downie, Couturier)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Downie, Schenn, Gustafsson, Read, Couturier · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, Weber

  54. P2 14:32Shot by Simmonds, saved by Miller
  55. P2 15:38Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  56. P2 15:49Goal by Read (Downie, Couturier)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Coburn, Downie, Read, Couturier · BUF Tallinder, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons

  57. P2 17:55Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller
  58. P2 18:11Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  59. P2 18:36Shot by McBain, saved by Emery
  60. P2 19:32Giroux: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek · BUF Tallinder, Ott, Moulson, Myers, Foligno

  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:40Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller4v5
  64. P3 1:41Shot by Stafford, saved by Emery
  65. P3 2:26Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Emery
  66. P3 2:30Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Emery
  67. P3 2:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  68. P3 3:26Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  69. P3 3:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Emery
  70. P3 3:51Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  71. P3 4:19Shot by Rosehill, saved by Miller
  72. P3 4:39Shot by Ott, saved by Emery
  73. P3 5:22Shot by Streit, saved by Miller
  74. P3 7:54Leino: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hall, Coburn, Rosehill, Rinaldo · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Weber, Leino

  75. P3 7:54Rosehill: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hall, Coburn, Rosehill, Rinaldo · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Weber, Leino

  76. P3 7:54Rinaldo: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Timonen, Hall, Coburn, Rosehill, Rinaldo · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Weber, Leino

  77. P3 8:44Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller5v4
  78. P3 9:03Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller5v4
  79. P3 9:12Myers: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Hall, Streit, Grossmann, Giroux, Read · BUF Ott, Moulson, McBain, Myers

  80. P3 9:58Goal by Lecavalier (Streit, Giroux)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Rosehill, Giroux, Simmonds · BUF Ehrhoff, Weber, Leino, Girgensons

  81. P3 10:57Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  82. P3 11:05Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  83. P3 11:52Weber: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Weber, Scott

  84. P3 12:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Emery5v4
  85. P3 14:11Shot by Downie, saved by Miller
  86. P3 14:26Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  87. P3 14:46Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller
  88. P3 15:59Shot by Tallinder, saved by Emery
  89. P3 16:23Shot by Hall, saved by Miller
  90. P3 16:38Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  91. P3 16:56Shot by Ott, saved by Emery
  92. P3 18:29Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller
  93. P3 18:45Shot by Adam, saved by Emery5v6
  94. P3 19:40Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery5v6
  95. P3 19:49Goal by Hartnell (Hall)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hall, Hartnell, Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, McBain, Hodgson

  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final