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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 21, 2013·American Airlines Center, Dallas

New York Rangers 3, Dallas Stars 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 62% of the time.

DAL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:31Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:34Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 2:39Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 2:42Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:29Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 5:39Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 5:51Garbutt: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Horcoff, Jeffrey, Benn, Garbutt · NYR Moore, Boyle, Dorsett, Del Zotto, Moore

  9. P1 6:27Goal by Nash (Callahan, Lundqvist)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Chiasson, Eakin, Dillon · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Girardi, Stepan

  10. P1 7:02McDonagh: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Benn, Eakin, Dillon, Seguin, Nichushkin · NYR Moore, Boyle, Girardi, Dorsett, McDonagh

  11. P1 7:46Shot by Chiasson, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  12. P1 7:50Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  13. P1 8:02Shot by Peverley, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  14. P1 8:03Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  15. P1 9:09Shot by Horcoff, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 9:43Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 11:13Shot by Peverley, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 11:14Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 12:22Shot by Callahan, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 13:02Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 13:32Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  22. P1 14:07Shot by Robidas, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 14:16Shot by Robidas, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 14:22Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 15:58Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 16:21Shot by Dillon, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P1 16:22Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P1 16:39Callahan: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Peverley, Roussel, Dillon, Seguin · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Staal, Stralman

  29. P1 18:07Shot by Robidas, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  30. P1 18:11Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  31. P1 18:55Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P1 19:19Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P1 19:46Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:19Shot by Fiddler, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 2:06Shot by Pouliot, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 2:42Shot by Dillon, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 3:14Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 4:01Shot by Richards, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 4:54Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 4:55Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 5:24Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 7:05Brassard: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Daley, Goligoski, Chiasson, Eakin · NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Hagelin

  45. P2 8:16Shot by Peverley, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  46. P2 8:46Goal by Robidas (Gonchar, Eakin)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Robidas, Cole, Eakin, Nichushkin · NYR Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan

  47. P2 9:34Shot by Dillon, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 11:07Shot by Pouliot, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P2 11:17Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 12:04Staal: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Robidas, Fiddler, Peverley, Benn, Dillon · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Staal, Stralman

  51. P2 12:08Benn: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Benn, Chiasson, Seguin · NYR Moore, Boyle, Girardi, McDonagh

  52. P2 12:40Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  53. P2 12:51Shot by Stralman, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  54. P2 13:36Stepan: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Cole, Benn, Eakin · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello

  55. P2 14:07Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  56. P2 14:40Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  57. P2 15:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  58. P2 15:07Shot by Stralman, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  59. P2 15:19Shot by Robidas, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  60. P2 16:06Shot by Eakin, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P2 16:19Shot by Kreider, saved by Lehtonen
  62. P2 17:04Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P2 17:58Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P2 18:24Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P2 19:19Shot by Richards, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P2 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 0:18Shot by Staal, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 0:42Shot by Richards, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 1:18Goal by Kreider (Stepan, Girardi)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin, Nichushkin · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  71. P3 1:55Goal by Moore (Brassard, Hagelin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Cole, Benn, Chiasson, Eakin · NYR Dorsett, Brassard, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  72. P3 2:17Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 3:25Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 3:44Shot by Callahan, saved by Lehtonen
  75. P3 8:27Goal by Chiasson (Eakin, Cole)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Daley, Goligoski, Chiasson, Eakin · NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  76. P3 8:39Gonchar: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Horcoff, Jeffrey, Benn, Garbutt · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Staal, Stralman

  77. P3 8:39Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonenother
  78. P3 8:45Shot by Callahan, saved by Lehtonen
  79. P3 9:04Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  80. P3 12:39Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  81. P3 15:42Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  82. P3 17:02Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 17:58Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final