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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 24, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Nyquist, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:07Shot by Stafford, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 4:15Shot by Ennis, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 6:09Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Miller
  6. P1 6:34Shot by Ericsson, saved by Miller
  7. P1 7:47Goal by Hodgson (Stafford)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, McNabb, Pysyk · DET Alfredsson, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm

  8. P1 8:43Shot by Tatar, saved by Miller
  9. P1 9:07Shot by Sulzer, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 10:24Shot by Quincey, saved by Miller
  11. P1 11:47Shot by Ericsson, saved by Miller
  12. P1 11:58Hodgson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, McNabb, Pysyk · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Andersson, Tatar

  13. P1 12:20Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller4v5
  14. P1 12:58Shot by Kronwall, saved by Miller4v5
  15. P1 13:05Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Miller4v5
  16. P1 14:51Shot by Kronwall, saved by Miller
  17. P1 15:26Shot by Adam, saved by Gustavsson
  18. P1 15:52Shot by Flynn, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 16:22Shot by Andersson, saved by Miller
  20. P1 16:56Shot by Franzen, saved by Miller
  21. P1 19:06Shot by Quincey, saved by Miller
  22. P1 19:50Shot by Andersson, saved by Miller
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:30Goal by Helm (Alfredsson, Abdelkader)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Myers, Ennis · DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Helm, Smith

  26. P2 1:26Shot by Franzen, saved by Miller
  27. P2 2:09Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Miller
  28. P2 3:22Shot by Flynn, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 4:29Shot by Ott, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 8:33Shot by Leino, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 9:39Shot by Ott, saved by Gustavssonother
  32. P2 10:12Shot by Girgensons, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 10:41Shot by Andersson, saved by Miller
  34. P2 11:52Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Miller
  35. P2 12:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 15:35Shot by Ericsson, saved by Miller
  37. P2 17:18Shot by Andersson, saved by Miller
  38. P2 17:37Shot by Franzen, saved by Miller
  39. P2 17:47Shot by Tallinder, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 18:55Shot by Stafford, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 19:21Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:34Shot by Ott, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P3 0:45Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P3 0:47Quincey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Myers, Ennis · DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Helm, Smith

  47. P3 2:44Shot by Stafford, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  48. P3 4:01Shot by Foligno, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P3 6:30Ehrhoff: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Adam, Girgensons, Grigorenko · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Franzen, Kindl, Nyquist

  50. P3 7:01Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Miller4v5
  51. P3 7:07Shot by Kronwall, saved by Miller4v5
  52. P3 7:26Shot by Kronwall, saved by Miller4v5
  53. P3 8:16Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller4v5
  54. P3 8:27Shot by Tatar, saved by Miller4v5
  55. P3 11:08Shot by Helm, saved by Miller5v6
  56. P3 11:10Shot by Helm, saved by Miller5v6
  57. P3 11:13Myers: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Myers, Adam, McNabb, Girgensons, Grigorenko · DET Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Helm, Lashoff

  58. P3 11:43Goal by Franzen (Zetterberg, Kronwall)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Girgensons · DET Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Franzen, Abdelkader

  59. P3 11:58Shot by Tatar, saved by Miller
  60. P3 12:06Shot by Andersson, saved by Miller
  61. P3 14:43Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Miller
  62. P3 15:13Weiss: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, McNabb, Pysyk · DET Cleary, Samuelsson, Kronwall, Weiss, Ericsson

  63. P3 19:00Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson6v5
  64. P3 19:11Goal by Alfredsson (Franzen)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Leino, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis · DET Alfredsson, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen

  65. P3 19:23Shot by Girgensons, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 19:37Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Gustavsson
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final