Wed, Nov 27, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Boston Bruins 1, Detroit Red Wings 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 03 | 17 | 117 |
| DET | 111 | 38 | 29 | 628 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:49DETJustin AbdelkaderAssists: Johan Franzen · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 6:05DETTomas TatarGWGAssists: Brian Lashoff, Joakim Andersson · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 8:47DETHenrik ZetterbergAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Niklas Kronwall · Snap, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 10:01DETNiklas KronwallPPAssists: Johan Franzen, Henrik Zetterberg · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–4
- P3 8:38DETDrew MillerAssists: Joakim Andersson, Tomas Tatar · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–5
- P3 17:07DETGustav NyquistAssists: Johan Franzen, Jonathan Ericsson · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–6
- P3 17:35BOSJarome IginlaAssists: Matt Bartkowski, Reilly Smith · Wrist, 0.28 xG1–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:19DETBrendan Smith: Interference2 min
- P1 9:38DETJohan Franzen: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:54DETDaniel Cleary: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:54BOSCarl Soderberg: Interference2 min
- P1 14:42BOSJohnny Boychuk: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:10BOSAdam McQuaid: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P2 14:41BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:00DETHenrik Zetterberg: Interference2 min
- P3 13:33BOSAdam McQuaid: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Helm
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKelly – Soderberg – Smith5:05
xG 0.27–0.08 (78%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
- Iginla – Bergeron – Smith2:31
xG 0.30–0.13 (70%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Campbell – Paille – Caron6:00
xG 0.18–0.06 (74%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Bergeron – Marchand7:56
xG 0.06–0.05 (57%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcQuaid – Krug5:13
xG 0.24–0.02 (94%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- McQuaid – Bartkowski9:39
xG 0.38–0.23 (63%)attempts 6–4goals 1–1
- Boychuk – Krug7:24
xG 0.25–0.13 (66%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestZetterberg – Franzen – Nyquist9:07
xG 0.25–0.14 (65%)attempts 6–6goals 2–0
- Miller – Andersson – Tatar10:00
xG 0.65–0.60 (52%)attempts 10–8goals 2–1
- Cleary – Samuelsson – Weiss6:47
xG 0.09–0.13 (40%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Alfredsson – Abdelkader – Helm10:57
xG 0.06–0.21 (23%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestQuincey – Smith14:41
xG 0.52–0.17 (75%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Kronwall – Ericsson14:29
xG 0.20–0.10 (66%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Kindl – Lashoff13:22
xG 0.52–0.84 (38%)attempts 10–12goals 3–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).