Sat, Nov 30, 2013·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Anaheim Ducks 3, San Jose Sharks 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 18 | 09 | 212 | 02 | 0 | 331 |
| SJS | 012 | 316 | 05 | 02 | 1 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:56ANACorey PerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Dustin Penner · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 4:16SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Patrick Marleau · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 10:13SJSPatrick MarleauSHAssists: Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P2 19:03SJSMartin HavlatAssists: Mike Brown, Scott Hannan · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 12:50ANAAlex GrantAssists: Nick Bonino, Cam Fowler · Slap, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 16:54ANABen LovejoyAssists: Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. SJS Logan Couture stopped
- 2. ANA Nick Bonino stopped
- 3. SJS Joe Pavelski scored
- 4. ANA Corey Perry stopped
- 5. SJS Dan Boyle stopped
- 6. ANA Kyle Palmieri stopped
Penalties (14)
- P1 3:00ANAMark Fistric: Charging2 min
- P1 6:12ANATim Jackman: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:12SJSMike Brown: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:38ANABen Lovejoy: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:54ANAAndrew Cogliano: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:54ANADaniel Winnik: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:54SJSJason Demers: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:54SJSJason Demers: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:54SJSScott Hannan: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:55ANAAlex Grant: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:02SJSJustin Braun: Holding2 min
- P2 16:39ANACorey Perry: Slashing2 min
- OT 1:26ANACorey Perry: Holding2 min
- OT 4:28SJSJason Demers: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Winnik – Cogliano10:54
xG 0.15–0.09 (64%)attempts 15–7goals 0–0
- Beleskey – Bonino – Palmieri3:27
xG 0.09–0.13 (42%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Penner13:33
xG 0.35–0.40 (47%)attempts 12–12goals 1–1
- Beleskey – Perreault – Palmieri5:01
xG 0.08–0.49 (14%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLovejoy – Fowler19:35
xG 0.53–0.40 (57%)attempts 24–20goals 2–1
- Grant – Lindholm9:26
xG 0.18–0.50 (27%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Fistric – Vatanen12:53
xG 0.18–0.64 (22%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHavlat – Pavelski – Kennedy10:02
xG 0.27–0.12 (69%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Wingels13:07
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Brown – Desjardins – McCarthy5:30
xG 0.04–0.17 (17%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun12:16
xG 0.45–0.10 (82%)attempts 13–8goals 1–0
- Boyle – Stuart9:18
xG 0.22–0.05 (82%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Stuart – Braun2:54
xG 0.04–0.07 (35%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).