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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 4, 2013·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 6, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

6

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Andersson, saved by Mason
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Coburn, saved by Howard
  4. P1 3:14Shot by Couturier, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:18Shot by Meszaros, saved by Howard
  6. P1 3:34Shot by Downie, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:06Shot by Streit, saved by Howard
  8. P1 7:00Shot by Franzen, saved by Mason
  9. P1 7:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Mason
  10. P1 10:17Goal by Tatar (Miller, Andersson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Tatar · PHI Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Raffl

  11. P1 11:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard
  12. P1 12:13Quincey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Samuelsson, Quincey, Kindl, Abdelkader, Emmerton · PHI Streit, Grossmann, Downie, Read, Couturier

  13. P1 12:50Shot by Hartnell, saved by Howard4v5
  14. P1 13:15Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard4v5
  15. P1 13:48Goal by Downie (Couturier, Read)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Lashoff · PHI Streit, Downie, Schenn, Read, Couturier

  16. P1 14:23Shot by Weiss, saved by Mason
  17. P1 14:25Shot by Weiss, saved by Mason
  18. P1 16:32Shot by Tatar, saved by Mason
  19. P1 17:33Shot by Read, saved by Howard
  20. P1 18:27Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Mason
  21. P1 18:38Downie: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Samuelsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Emmerton, Smith · PHI Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Downie, Giroux

  22. P1 19:28Shot by Tatar, saved by Mason5v4
  23. P1 0:00Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Mason5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:09Shot by Timonen, saved by Howard5v4
  27. P2 0:48Shot by Downie, saved by Howard
  28. P2 1:05Shot by Quincey, saved by Mason
  29. P2 1:11Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard
  30. P2 2:13Shot by Cleary, saved by Mason
  31. P2 3:02Shot by Quincey, saved by Mason
  32. P2 3:16Shot by Timonen, saved by Howard
  33. P2 3:38Shot by Rosehill, saved by Howard
  34. P2 3:43Shot by Grossmann, saved by Howard
  35. P2 4:21Shot by Raffl, saved by Howard
  36. P2 4:35Shot by Smith, saved by Mason
  37. P2 4:48Shot by Timonen, saved by Howard
  38. P2 4:56Shot by Hartnell, saved by Howard
  39. P2 6:32Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  40. P2 8:24Goal by Franzen (Weiss, Nyquist)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Weiss, Ericsson, Quincey, Franzen, Nyquist · PHI Hartnell, Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek

  41. P2 9:04Downie: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Helm, Smith · PHI Grossmann, Downie, Schenn, Read, Couturier

  42. P2 9:12Rinaldo: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Samuelsson, Kindl, Andersson, Nyquist, Tatar · PHI Timonen, Hall, Coburn, Rinaldo

  43. P2 9:23Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Mason5v3
  44. P2 9:25Shot by Franzen, saved by Mason5v3
  45. P2 10:02Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Mason5v3
  46. P2 10:03Shot by Tatar, saved by Mason5v3
  47. P2 10:12Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Mason5v3
  48. P2 10:13Goal by Tatar (Samuelsson, Alfredsson)5v3+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Samuelsson, Kronwall, Franzen, Tatar · PHI Hall, Coburn, Grossmann

  49. P2 11:50Shot by Giroux, saved by Howard
  50. P2 13:19Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  51. P2 13:55Shot by Quincey, saved by Mason
  52. P2 14:09Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Weiss, Ericsson, Franzen, Nyquist · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek

  53. P2 14:22Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Mason5v4
  54. P2 14:34Shot by Read, saved by Howard5v4
  55. P2 16:38Goal by Read (Couturier, Hartnell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Cleary, Ericsson, Quincey, Miller, Andersson · PHI Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Read, Couturier

  56. P2 16:47Schenn: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Kindl, Abdelkader, Helm, Lashoff · PHI Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Rinaldo, Schenn

  57. P2 16:58Shot by Franzen, saved by Mason5v4
  58. P2 18:43Coburn: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Samuelsson, Kronwall, Kindl, Helm, Nyquist · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Read, Couturier

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:09Shot by Voracek, saved by Howard
  62. P3 2:12Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  63. P3 3:17Shot by Emmerton, saved by Mason
  64. P3 4:17Weiss: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Kronwall, Weiss, Ericsson, Franzen · PHI Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds

  65. P3 4:32Shot by Simmonds, saved by Howard4v5
  66. P3 5:15Goal by Giroux (Timonen, Hartnell)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Lashoff · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds

  67. P3 6:23Shot by Timonen, saved by Howard
  68. P3 8:28Goal by Couturier (Downie, Read)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DET Miller, Kindl, Andersson, Lashoff, Tatar · PHI Meszaros, Downie, Schenn, Read, Couturier

  69. P3 8:36Shot by Raffl, saved by Howard
  70. P3 8:36Kindl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Miller, Kindl, Andersson, Lashoff, Tatar · PHI Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn, Raffl

  71. P3 9:58Goal by Hartnell (Giroux, Streit)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Lashoff · PHI Streit, Hartnell, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds

  72. P3 12:07Shot by Hartnell, saved by Howard
  73. P3 12:22Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  74. P3 12:36Shot by Andersson, saved by Mason
  75. P3 12:56Shot by Lashoff, saved by Mason
  76. P3 13:16Shot by Ericsson, saved by Mason
  77. P3 13:45Shot by Helm, saved by Mason
  78. P3 14:35Shot by Cleary, saved by Mason
  79. P3 15:08Couturier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Helm, Smith · PHI Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Downie, Couturier

  80. P3 16:17Shot by Kindl, saved by Mason5v4
  81. P3 17:47Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  82. P3 17:55Shot by Tatar, saved by Mason
  83. P3 19:01Goal by Couturier (Raffl)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Alfredsson, Cleary, Kronwall, Kindl, Helm, Nyquist · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Couturier, Raffl

  84. P3 19:39Shot by Schenn, saved by Howard
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Rinaldo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Andersson, Lashoff · PHI Meszaros, Downie, Schenn, Rinaldo, Schenn

  87. P3 0:00Rinaldo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Andersson, Lashoff · PHI Meszaros, Downie, Schenn, Rinaldo, Schenn

  88. P3 0:00Downie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Andersson, Lashoff · PHI Meszaros, Downie, Schenn, Rinaldo, Schenn

  89. P3 0:00Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, Smith, Andersson, Lashoff · PHI Meszaros, Downie, Schenn, Rinaldo, Schenn

  90. P3 0:00Final