Fri, Dec 6, 2013·United Center, Chicago
Anaheim Ducks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 18 | 19 | 08 | 01 | 2 | 326 |
| CHI | 111 | 16 | 05 | 03 | 1 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:20ANACorey PerryAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Dustin Penner · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 4:05CHIBen SmithAssists: Patrick Kane, Kris Versteeg · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 10:05ANARyan GetzlafPPAssists: Cam Fowler, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 17:48CHIKris VersteegPPAssists: Marian Hossa, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. ANA Nick Bonino scored
- 3. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
- 4. ANA Kyle Palmieri scored
- 5. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:02ANAMatt Beleskey: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:27ANAHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P2 8:06CHIJohnny Oduya: Closing hand on puck2 min · PPG
- P2 15:57ANABryan Allen: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 19:24ANADustin Penner: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSteckel – Beleskey – Palmieri6:06
xG 0.59–0.19 (76%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Penner15:21
xG 0.49–0.40 (55%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Selanne – Bonino – Etem6:40
xG 0.32–0.24 (57%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Koivu – Winnik – Cogliano10:54
xG 0.12–0.44 (21%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLovejoy – Fowler17:59
xG 0.33–0.23 (59%)attempts 9–15goals 1–0
- Fistric – Lindholm13:02
xG 0.47–0.59 (44%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Allen – Vatanen16:04
xG 0.42–0.90 (32%)attempts 13–20goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews14:09
xG 0.72–0.18 (80%)attempts 17–4goals 0–1
- Kruger – Bollig – Nordstrom9:22
xG 0.23–0.13 (65%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Versteeg – Kane – Smith2:02
xG 0.13–0.10 (55%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Smith – Morin – Saad4:46
xG 0.24–0.23 (52%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook17:12
xG 0.32–0.13 (72%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson16:43
xG 0.52–0.35 (59%)attempts 15–10goals 0–1
- Brookbank – Leddy12:35
xG 0.66–0.97 (41%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).