Fri, Dec 6, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Phoenix Coyotes 2, Vancouver Canucks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 010 | 09 | 218 | 02 | 239 |
| VAN | 010 | 211 | 08 | 13 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:26VANJason GarrisonPPAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 19:07VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Ryan Stanton · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P3 10:34PHXAntoine VermetteUnassisted · Slap, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 12:55PHXDavid MossAssists: Rob Klinkhammer, Mike Ribeiro · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–2
- OT 3:41VANChris HigginsGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 12:23VANKevin Bieksa: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:40PHXOliver Ekman-Larsson: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 8:52PHXRob Klinkhammer: Interference2 min
- P2 16:53VANRyan Stanton: Closing hand on puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Klinkhammer
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRibeiro – Moss – Klinkhammer3:23
xG 0.55–0.13 (81%)attempts 7–3goals 1–0
- Vermette – Kennedy – Boedker10:22
xG 0.50–0.19 (72%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Kennedy3:18
xG 0.10–0.02 (80%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Ribeiro – Vrbata – Hanzal11:37
xG 0.29–0.28 (50%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchlemko – Rundblad12:31
xG 0.78–0.37 (68%)attempts 20–7goals 0–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson14:47
xG 0.41–0.30 (58%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Yandle – Murphy18:03
xG 0.60–0.58 (51%)attempts 15–16goals 1–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Booth13:52
xG 0.42–0.35 (54%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Higgins – Kesler – Santorelli15:04
xG 0.29–0.23 (55%)attempts 13–12goals 0–0
- Richardson – Hansen – Weise10:41
xG 0.55–0.59 (48%)attempts 9–10goals 0–1
- Sestito – Dalpe – Kassian4:44
xG 0.05–0.14 (25%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGarrison – Stanton4:50
xG 0.28–0.03 (90%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Alberts3:45
xG 0.19–0.05 (81%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Alberts – Garrison2:24
xG 0.01–0.10 (11%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).