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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 8, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Boston Bruins 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Lucic, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:27Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 3:17Hamilton: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Raymond, Franson, Smith, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland · BOS Iginla, Seidenberg, Krejci, Lucic, Hamilton

  5. P1 4:34Shot by Raymond, saved by Johnson5v4
  6. P1 5:47Shot by Kulemin, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 5:50Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 6:26Clarkson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Franson, Smith, Gardiner · BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Smith, Hamilton

  9. P1 6:26Chara: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Franson, Smith, Gardiner · BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Smith, Hamilton

  10. P1 8:51Shot by Caron, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 10:02Shot by Krug, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 11:29Shot by Ranger, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 12:04Shot by Raymond, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 12:20Goal by Holland (Clarkson, Gardiner)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Franson, Gardiner, Holland · BOS Seidenberg, Campbell, Paille, Caron, Krug

  15. P1 12:37Shot by Ashton, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 12:42Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 12:45Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 13:49Kadri: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri · BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Smith, Miller

  19. P1 13:56Shot by Krug, saved by Bernier4v5
  20. P1 14:42Shot by Krejci, saved by Bernier4v5
  21. P1 16:23Shot by Caron, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 16:40Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 17:15Shot by Krejci, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 17:29Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  25. P1 18:26Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Johnson
  29. P2 1:40Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 2:19Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 4:50Ashton: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McClement, Franson, Kulemin, Gardiner, Ashton · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand, Bartkowski, Smith

  32. P2 5:03Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bernier4v5
  33. P2 5:14Goal by Soderberg (Smith, Bergeron)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Phaneuf, Smith, Gunnarsson · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Soderberg, Marchand, Smith

  34. P2 5:34Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Raymond, Smith, Gunnarsson · BOS Iginla, Krejci, Lucic, Bartkowski, Miller

  35. P2 6:05Shot by Soderberg, saved by Bernier4v5
  36. P2 6:47Goal by Krug (Krejci, Lucic)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Raymond, Franson, Gardiner, D'Amigo · BOS Iginla, Chara, Krejci, Lucic, Krug

  37. P2 7:04Shot by Caron, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 7:23Shot by Miller, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 9:06Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 10:19Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 11:28Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 12:02Shot by Kulemin, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 12:48Shot by Franson, saved by Johnson
  44. P2 14:10Shot by Krug, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 14:30Shot by Lucic, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 15:54Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 15:58Goal by Miller (Soderberg)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Ranger, Raymond, Smith, D'Amigo · BOS Soderberg, Bartkowski, Fraser, Spooner, Miller

  48. P2 16:11Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 16:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  50. P2 16:10Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  51. P2 17:00Shot by Ranger, saved by Johnson
  52. P2 18:21Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Johnson
  53. P2 19:09Shot by Chara, saved by Bernier
  54. P2 19:15Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 19:50Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:33Shot by Clarkson, saved by Johnson
  59. P3 0:36Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  60. P3 0:37Goal by McClement (Holland, Kulemin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McClement, Franson, Kulemin, Gardiner, Holland · BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Bergeron, Soderberg, Smith

  61. P3 1:03Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 2:43Seidenberg: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Franson, McLaren, Gardiner, Ashton, D'Amigo · BOS Seidenberg, Soderberg, Bartkowski, Fraser, Spooner

  63. P3 3:26Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson5v4
  64. P3 4:41Shot by Caron, saved by Bernier5v4
  65. P3 6:09Miller: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, McClement, Ranger, Kulemin, Holland · BOS Iginla, Seidenberg, Krejci, Lucic, Miller

  66. P3 7:36Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson5v4
  67. P3 8:40Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 8:57Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 9:53Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 11:35Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 13:28Shot by Paille, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 13:52Shot by Caron, saved by Bernier
  73. P3 14:26Shot by Chara, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 14:59Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson
  75. P3 15:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Johnson
  76. P3 15:22Shot by Krejci, saved by Bernier
  77. P3 16:00Goal by Iginla (Lucic)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kadri · BOS Iginla, Chara, Krejci, Lucic, Miller

  78. P3 17:03Shot by Raymond, saved by Johnson
  79. P3 17:15Shot by Miller, saved by Bernier
  80. P3 17:43Bergeron: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Raymond, Kessel, Smith, Gardiner · BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Smith, Miller, Krug

  81. P3 18:10Shot by Clarkson, saved by Johnson6v4
  82. P3 18:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Johnson6v4
  83. P3 19:11Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Johnson6v4
  84. P3 19:39Shot by Clarkson, saved by Johnson6v4
  85. P3 19:49Goal by Bergeron (Campbell, Krejci)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Clarkson, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Kadri · BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Campbell, Bergeron, Krejci

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final