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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2013·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, St. Louis Blues 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 85% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:32Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Morrow, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:07Shot by Sobotka, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 3:08Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 4:48Goal by Backes (Steen, Bouwmeester)+20 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo · TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gardiner, Holland, Rielly

  8. P1 5:11Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 5:31Shot by Oshie, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 5:46Shot by Cracknell, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 6:36Shot by Polak, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 6:45Shot by Schwartz, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 6:47McClement: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Polak, Sobotka, Stewart, Cole, Schwartz · TOR McClement, Ranger, Fraser, McLaren, D'Amigo

  14. P1 8:21Shot by Schwartz, saved by Reimer5v4
  15. P1 9:27Shot by Backes, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 9:31Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 11:27Shot by Cole, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 12:56Shot by Schwartz, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 12:59Goal by Schwartz (Sobotka, Jackman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Sobotka, Stewart, Shattenkirk, Schwartz · TOR McClement, Fraser, McLaren, Gardiner, D'Amigo

  20. P1 13:27Steen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Steen, Backes, Polak, Oshie, Cole · TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Franson, Smith, Gardiner

  21. P1 13:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott4v5
  22. P1 14:43Shot by Kadri, saved by Elliott4v5
  23. P1 16:10Goal by Roy (Stewart, Schwartz)+8 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Roy, Polak, Stewart, Berglund · TOR Ranger, Fraser, Kulemin, van Riemsdyk, Kadri

  24. P1 16:23Shot by Roy, saved by Bernier
  25. P1 16:44Shot by Gardiner, saved by Elliott
  26. P1 18:13Shot by Kulemin, saved by Elliott
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:19Shot by Holland, saved by Elliott
  30. P2 0:29Goal by Stewart (Sobotka, Schwartz)+4 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Sobotka, Stewart, Shattenkirk, Schwartz · TOR Ranger, Lupul, Fraser, Kulemin, Holland

  31. P2 1:13Shot by Oshie, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 1:45Goal by Kadri (Kessel)+4 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Lapierre, Oshie, Pietrangelo · TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kadri

  33. P2 2:24Jackman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: STL Morrow, Jackman, Lapierre, Cracknell, Shattenkirk · TOR McClement, Ranger, Fraser, McLaren, D'Amigo

  34. P2 3:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Elliott4v5
  35. P2 4:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Elliott
  36. P2 6:28Clarkson: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Sobotka, Stewart, Shattenkirk, Schwartz · TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Smith, Gardiner, Rielly

  37. P2 6:35Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bernier5v4
  38. P2 8:16Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Bernier5v4
  39. P2 8:31Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Bernier
  40. P2 8:49Shot by Polak, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 9:30Shot by Steen, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 15:07Shot by Oshie, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 16:31Shot by D'Amigo, saved by Elliott
  44. P2 17:01Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 17:55Shot by Clarkson, saved by Elliott
  46. P2 17:56Clarkson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: STL Roy, Polak, Berglund, Cole, Tarasenko · TOR Ranger, Clarkson, Raymond, Fraser, Smith

  47. P2 17:56Polak: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: STL Roy, Polak, Berglund, Cole, Tarasenko · TOR Ranger, Clarkson, Raymond, Fraser, Smith

  48. P2 18:24Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:12Shot by Holland, saved by Elliott
  52. P3 2:11Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 4:24Shot by Steen, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 6:47Shot by Backes, saved by Bernier
  55. P3 6:59Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 7:04Goal by Steen (Oshie, Pietrangelo)+1 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo · TOR Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gunnarsson, Kadri

  57. P3 7:19Cole: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Roy, Polak, Berglund, Cole, Tarasenko · TOR Ranger, Clarkson, Raymond, Fraser, Smith

  58. P3 7:52Shot by Lupul, saved by Elliott4v5
  59. P3 8:17Shot by Sobotka, saved by Bernier4v5
  60. P3 9:01Clarkson: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: STL Jackman, Polak, Sobotka, Schwartz · TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly

  61. P3 9:21Shot by Steen, saved by Bernier5v4
  62. P3 12:01Shot by Lupul, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 12:26Shot by Cracknell, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 14:30Goal by Kulemin (Raymond, Smith)0 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Shattenkirk · TOR Raymond, Franson, Kulemin, Smith, Gunnarsson

  65. P3 15:55Shot by Ranger, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 16:07Shot by Fraser, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 16:52Goal by van Riemsdyk, unassisted+1 pts WP

    On ice: STL Roy, Bouwmeester, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo · TOR Clarkson, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Holland, Rielly

  68. P3 17:13Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 18:03Shot by Kessel, saved by Elliott5v6
  70. P3 19:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Elliott5v6
  71. P3 19:30Goal by Backes, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Steen, Backes, Polak, Oshie · TOR Clarkson, Raymond, Franson, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final