Sat, Dec 14, 2013·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 2, Vancouver Canucks 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 010 | 112 | 119 | 241 |
| VAN | 19 | 213 | 38 | 630 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:37VANJannik HansenUnassisted · Slap, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 4:11BOSReilly SmithUnassisted · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 5:31VANDavid BoothAssists: Brad Richardson · Snap, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 8:46VANChris HigginsGWGAssists: Ryan Kesler, Mike Santorelli · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–3
- P3 1:34VANYannick WeberAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.05 xG1–4
- P3 4:02VANHenrik SedinPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Kevin Bieksa · Slap, 0.06 xG1–5
- P3 10:34VANChris TanevSHAssists: Mike Santorelli, Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–6
- P3 16:43BOSReilly SmithAssists: Johnny Boychuk, Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.50 xG2–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:24BOSJarome Iginla: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:24VANRyan Kesler: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:57BOSDavid Krejci: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:01VANDavid Booth: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:23BOSJarome Iginla: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 3:23VANDan Hamhuis: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:23BOSJarome Iginla: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:36VANBrad Richardson: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:25VANRyan Stanton: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith10:34
xG 2.04–0.09 (96%)attempts 28–4goals 2–0
- Soderberg – Fraser – Spooner9:48
xG 0.42–0.33 (56%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Campbell – Johnson – Caron9:48
xG 0.28–0.24 (53%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Iginla – Krejci – Lucic11:02
xG 0.35–0.80 (31%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Boychuk10:24
xG 1.42–0.05 (97%)attempts 21–1goals 1–0
- Bartkowski – Miller14:14
xG 0.86–0.40 (68%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk7:32
xG 0.40–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Richardson – Booth – Kassian10:59
xG 0.21–0.24 (46%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Hansen10:01
xG 0.06–0.28 (18%)attempts 6–8goals 1–1
- Higgins – Kesler – Santorelli11:25
xG 0.90–1.26 (42%)attempts 11–23goals 1–0
- Dalpe – Weise – Welsh7:41
xG 0.25–0.89 (22%)attempts 6–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Tanev17:15
xG 0.97–0.51 (66%)attempts 16–15goals 2–1
- Bieksa – Garrison2:18
xG 0.17–0.29 (36%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Weber – Garrison13:09
xG 0.15–0.91 (14%)attempts 6–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).