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Ice Lab

Centre · #25

Mike Santorelli

Nashville Predators Florida Panthers Winnipeg Jets Vancouver Canucks Toronto Maple Leafs Anaheim Ducks(traded during the season)
Age
40
Shoots
Right
Height
183 cm
Weight
86 kg
Born
Vancouver, CAN
Draft
2004, round 6, #178 (NSH)

Career · 2009–10 to 2015–16

Games
399
Goals
64
Points
138
TOI per game
13:53
xGF% (5v5)
48.9%
Goals above expected
−5.1

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10NSH25213−810:57365.6%03.3–
2010–11FLA82202141−1716:4119310.4%1221.950.2%
2011–12FLA609211−1012:241177.7%39.349.1%
2012–13FLA24213−711:06219.5%01.944.4%
2012–13WPG10011−513:43140.0%01.350.0%
2012–13All teams34224−1211:52355.7%03.246.3%
2013–14VAN49101828+918:349111.0%09.751.5%
2014–15TOR57111829+714:5710210.8%210.846.0%
2014–15NSH22134−712:55432.3%03.747.2%
2014–15All teams79122133014:231458.3%214.546.3%
2015–16ANA709918−410:068111.1%37.149.0%
Total6 teams3996474138−4213:536989.2%2069.148.9%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.5150100150200250300350
10m15m20m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2009–10 to 2015–16 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

47th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.6954th pct
  • Assists /600.8042nd pct
  • ixG /600.7561st pct
  • Goals above expected−5.124th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.9%47th pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.7%53rd pct
  • Relative xGF%−1.245th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.1456th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game13:5352nd pct
  • PP time share21.2%56th pct
  • Offensive zone starts57.1%52nd pct
  • Quality of competition23.9%46th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Marco SturmWSH/FLA0.66
  2. Niclas BergforsNJD/ATL/FLA0.65
  3. Bobby ButlerOTT0.64
  4. Shane PrinceOTT0.61
  5. Mike HoffmanOTT0.61
  6. Mikhail GrabovskiTOR/WSH/NYI0.61

Faceoffs

How often Santorelli wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2015–16, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1339+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

49.3%

1174–1208 · #114 of 193 regulars, 41st percentile

Against an average centre

49.5%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

−13

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

7.1

2,382 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

52%413 · +0.753%221 · +3.251%637 · +0.647%106 · +1.142%149 · +0.757%99 · +0.246%99 · +1.038%176 · +1.849%482 · +1.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone51.6% 443–415
  • Neutral zone49.4% 428–438
  • Defensive zone46.0% 303–355

By strength

  • Even strength48.2% 928–999
  • Power play56.5% 175–135
  • Shorthanded48.5% 64–68

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +15 after a win, −12 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.1 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–1010446.2%47.5%
2010–11103250.2%50.2%
2011–1238945.2%45.5%
2012–139459.6%58.7%
2013–1441951.3%51.9%
2014–1518646.2%46.0%
2015–1615847.5%47.5%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−5.1 goals above expected

02040608050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100