Skip to content
Ice Lab

Centre · #81

Frans Nielsen

New York Islanders Detroit Red Wings(traded during the season)
Age
42
Shoots
Left
Height
185 cm
Weight
84 kg
Born
Herning, DNK
Draft
2002, round 3, #87 (NYI)

Career · 2009–10 to 2020–21

Games
835
Goals
155
Points
435
TOI per game
16:49
xGF% (5v5)
48.9%
Goals above expected
−10.0

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10NYI76122638+417:131368.8%816.3–
2010–11NYI71133144+1317:461568.3%816.554.1%
2011–12NYI82173047−317:2713312.8%1512.947.7%
2012–13NYI4862329−318:01936.5%109.848.0%
2013–14NYI80253358−1118:2016715.0%2019.448.9%
2014–15NYI78142943+816:351578.9%1817.754.9%
2015–16NYI81203252+117:4318111.0%2021.749.0%
2016–17DET79172441−1917:0916210.5%1516.350.2%
2017–18DET79161733+115:5013411.9%712.947.8%
2018–19DET72102535−716:411208.3%810.142.6%
2019–20DET60459−1313:41864.7%28.241.2%
2020–21DET29156−312:08244.2%03.151.7%
Total2 teams835155280435−3216:491,54910.0%131165.048.9%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.5100200300400500600700800
10m12m14m16m18m20m100200300400500600700800Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2020–21 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

65th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.6652nd pct
  • Assists /601.2079th pct
  • ixG /600.7053rd pct
  • Goals above expected−10.014th pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.9%48th pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.1%50th pct
  • Relative xGF%+0.261st pct
  • Penalty diff /600.2973rd pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game16:4984th pct
  • PP time share42.9%80th pct
  • Offensive zone starts50.2%35th pct
  • Quality of competition24.7%76th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Nielsen wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2020–21, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 2256+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.6%

5262–5558 · #145 of 199 regulars, 27th percentile

Against an average centre

48.9%

Opponents won 50.2% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.8% against them.

Wins above average

−122

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

13.2

10,820 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

48%2166 · +0.552%1743 · +1.046%1289 · +1.655%408 · +0.846%367 · +0.752%501 · +0.546%457 · +0.150%2222 · +2.046%1667 · +2.2Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone49.2% 1492–1539
  • Neutral zone48.9% 1905–1992
  • Defensive zone47.9% 1865–2027

By strength

  • Even strength49.4% 4168–4274
  • Power play54.6% 417–347
  • Shorthanded41.7% 653–914

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +10 after a win, −13 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–10116450.0%50.3%
2010–1196546.2%46.1%
2011–12115645.2%45.1%
2012–1355848.0%48.3%
2013–14108449.3%49.5%
2014–15105048.2%48.5%
2015–16116950.1%50.8%
2016–17121453.8%54.1%
2017–18104146.4%47.0%
2018–1992348.8%48.7%
2019–2045646.1%45.9%
2020–214052.5%52.2%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−10.0 goals above expected

050100150100200300400500600700800Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100+150