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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 21, 2013·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Montréal Canadiens 4, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 71% of the time.

NSH winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Subban, saved by Mazanec
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Mazanec
  4. P1 3:56Shot by Wilson, saved by Price
  5. P1 4:03Shot by Weber, saved by Price
  6. P1 6:20Cullen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Stalberg, Ellis, Ekholm, Bourque · MTL Brière, Bouillon, Bourque, Subban, Eller

  7. P1 8:41Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price
  8. P1 10:15Shot by Ellis, saved by Price
  9. P1 11:10Shot by Josi, saved by Price
  10. P1 11:30Goal by Subban (Eller)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Stalberg, Ellis, Ekholm, Bourque · MTL Brière, Bouillon, Bourque, Subban, Eller

  11. P1 13:20Goal by Pacioretty (Gallagher, Emelin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Spaling, Josi, Smith · MTL Markov, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  12. P1 13:56Shot by Ellis, saved by Price
  13. P1 14:37Goal by Plekanec (Gionta)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Hornqvist, Wilson, Jones · MTL Gionta, Murray, Plekanec, Diaz, Galchenyuk

  14. P1 15:19Shot by Subban, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 15:57Hendricks: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm · MTL Markov, Moen, Prust, Emelin, Bournival

  16. P1 15:57Moen: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Hendricks, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ellis, Ekholm · MTL Markov, Moen, Prust, Emelin, Bournival

  17. P1 16:37Shot by Subban, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 17:13Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price
  19. P1 18:15Stalberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Klein, Stalberg, Bourque, Jones · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  20. P1 18:29Shot by Markov, saved by Hutton4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:45Shot by Ekholm, saved by Price
  24. P2 1:00Shot by Klein, saved by Price
  25. P2 4:08Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price
  26. P2 4:14Shot by Wilson, saved by Price
  27. P2 4:16Shot by Eller, saved by Hutton
  28. P2 4:44Shot by Ekholm, saved by Price
  29. P2 4:44Shot by Cullen, saved by Price
  30. P2 5:25Shot by Bournival, saved by Hutton
  31. P2 5:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Price
  32. P2 8:03Shot by Josi, saved by Price
  33. P2 8:15Shot by Cullen, saved by Price
  34. P2 8:32Shot by Josi, saved by Price
  35. P2 10:20Shot by Josi, saved by Price
  36. P2 11:30Shot by Bourque, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 11:51Goal by Bourque (Cullen, Stalberg)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Stalberg, Ellis, Ekholm, Bourque · MTL Brière, Murray, Bourque, Eller, Diaz

  38. P2 13:16Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  39. P2 13:42Shot by Josi, saved by Price
  40. P2 13:48Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  41. P2 14:29Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Hutton
  42. P2 15:34Shot by Plekanec, saved by Hutton
  43. P2 16:49Desharnais: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Klein, Spaling, Ellis, Smith · MTL Murray, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Diaz

  44. P2 16:59Shot by Josi, saved by Price5v4
  45. P2 17:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price5v4
  46. P2 17:35Shot by Legwand, saved by Price5v4
  47. P2 17:41Shot by Weber, saved by Price5v4
  48. P2 18:09Goal by Spaling (Weber, Smith)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Spaling, Wilson, Josi, Smith · MTL Markov, Murray, Prust, Eller

  49. P2 18:24Shot by Subban, saved by Hutton
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:11Shot by Subban, saved by Hutton
  53. P3 4:25Shot by Plekanec, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 7:28Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Hutton
  55. P3 7:38Shot by Desharnais, saved by Hutton
  56. P3 8:07Shot by Desharnais, saved by Hutton
  57. P3 8:52Shot by Spaling, saved by Price
  58. P3 9:42Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Price
  59. P3 10:20Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 12:03Shot by Plekanec, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 12:21Shot by Markov, saved by Hutton
  62. P3 13:32Subban: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Klein, Stalberg, Ellis, Bourque · MTL Bouillon, Prust, Bourque, Subban, Eller

  63. P3 13:40Goal by Weber (Fisher, Hornqvist)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Fisher, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · MTL Markov, Murray, Moen, Plekanec

  64. P3 13:40Markov: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Fisher, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi · MTL Markov, Murray, Moen, Plekanec

  65. P3 14:21Shot by Josi, saved by Price
  66. P3 16:31Shot by Cullen, saved by Price
  67. P3 18:14Shot by Smith, saved by Price
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. OT 0:00Period start
  70. OT 0:50Shot by Smith, saved by Price4v4
  71. OT 1:43Goal by Desharnais, unassisted4v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Stalberg, Ellis, Ekholm · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Gallagher

  72. OT 1:43Period end
  73. OT 1:43Final