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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 23, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Phoenix Coyotes 1, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 52% of the time.

BUF winsPHX wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:02Shot by Moulson, saved by Smith
  3. P1 4:24Shot by Boedker, saved by Miller
  4. P1 4:48Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller
  5. P1 5:29Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller
  6. P1 5:55Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  8. P1 6:37Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Miller
  9. P1 7:23Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller
  10. P1 8:09Scott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, D'Agostini, McBain, Scott, Flynn · PHX Bissonnette, Chipchura, Hanzal, Stone, Murphy

  11. P1 8:47Ribeiro: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Larsson, Pysyk, Girgensons · PHX Ribeiro, Vrbata, Hanzal, Yandle, Ekman-Larsson

  12. P1 9:41Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller4v4
  13. P1 9:58Shot by Murphy, saved by Miller4v4
  14. P1 10:31Shot by Moss, saved by Miller5v4
  15. P1 13:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Smith
  16. P1 14:28Moulson: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Weber, Pysyk, Flynn, Girgensons · PHX Morris, Ribeiro, Vrbata, Bissonnette, Chipchura, Yandle

  17. P1 14:38Shot by Hanzal, saved by Miller4v5
  18. P1 15:22Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller4v5
  19. P1 16:11Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller4v5
  20. P1 17:11Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller
  21. P1 17:37Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Miller
  22. P1 18:37Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:19Goal by Hanzal (Murphy, Kennedy)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons · PHX Vrbata, Hanzal, Kennedy, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy

  26. P2 1:15Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith
  27. P2 1:26Shot by McBain, saved by Smith
  28. P2 2:13Shot by Bissonnette, saved by Miller
  29. P2 3:17Shot by Pysyk, saved by Smith
  30. P2 3:26Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith
  31. P2 4:10Shot by Boedker, saved by Miller
  32. P2 4:33Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Miller
  33. P2 5:02Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Smith
  34. P2 8:01Shot by Stone, saved by Miller
  35. P2 10:04Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  36. P2 10:10Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  37. P2 11:10Shot by Myers, saved by Smith
  38. P2 11:16Stafford: Elbowing (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ellis, Stafford, Myers, Larsson · PHX Ribeiro, Chipchura, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy

  39. P2 11:16Stafford: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ellis, Stafford, Myers, Larsson · PHX Ribeiro, Chipchura, Boedker, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy

  40. P2 13:38Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller4v5
  41. P2 13:47Hanzal: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Myers, Girgensons · PHX Ribeiro, Vrbata, Hanzal, Yandle, Ekman-Larsson

  42. P2 14:26Shot by Vermette, saved by Miller4v4
  43. P2 15:39Shot by Ott, saved by Smith4v4
  44. P2 16:39Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  45. P2 17:06Shot by Myers, saved by Smith
  46. P2 18:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:22Moulson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons · PHX Vrbata, Hanzal, Kennedy, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy

  50. P3 2:06Shot by Vermette, saved by Miller4v5
  51. P3 2:25Shot by Moss, saved by Miller
  52. P3 2:37Shot by Klesla, saved by Miller
  53. P3 4:47Shot by Pysyk, saved by Smith
  54. P3 4:56Shot by Yandle, saved by Miller
  55. P3 6:21Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  56. P3 6:26Shot by Ennis, saved by Smith
  57. P3 6:47Shot by Kennedy, saved by Miller
  58. P3 7:34Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller
  59. P3 8:17Shot by Flynn, saved by Smith
  60. P3 9:07Shot by Boedker, saved by Miller
  61. P3 10:16Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith
  62. P3 11:53Stone: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Weber, McBain, Ennis, Girgensons · PHX Klesla, Vermette, Korpikoski, Boedker, Stone

  63. P3 12:08Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Smith5v4
  64. P3 12:49Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller5v4
  65. P3 13:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith5v4
  66. P3 13:37Shot by Pysyk, saved by Smith5v4
  67. P3 13:47Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith5v4
  68. P3 14:01Goal by Ennis (Girgensons)+34 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Pysyk, Girgensons · PHX Morris, Halpern, Klesla, Vermette, Stone

  69. P3 15:47Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  70. P3 15:59Shot by Girgensons, saved by Smith
  71. P3 16:00Morris: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Ennis, Pysyk, Girgensons · PHX Morris, Ribeiro, Moss, Yandle, Klinkhammer

  72. P3 18:26Shot by Klesla, saved by Miller
  73. P3 18:35Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller
  74. P3 18:58Shot by Ott, saved by Smith
  75. P3 19:28Shot by Yandle, saved by Miller
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 1:03Shot by Vrbata, saved by Miller4v4
  79. OT 2:26Shot by McBain, saved by Smith4v4
  80. OT 2:31Shot by McBain, saved by Smith4v4
  81. OT 2:39Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Miller4v4
  82. OT 2:48Shot by Klesla, saved by Miller4v4
  83. OT 3:24Shot by Klesla, saved by Miller4v4
  84. OT 3:42Shot by Pysyk, saved by Smith4v4
  85. OT 3:47Goal by Pysyk (Moulson, Ehrhoff)4v4+51 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Ennis, Pysyk · PHX Vrbata, Klesla, Hanzal, Stone

  86. OT 3:47Period end
  87. OT 3:47Final