Mon, Dec 23, 2013·United Center, Chicago
New Jersey Devils 2, Chicago Blackhawks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 02 | 16 | 14 | 212 |
| CHI | 112 | 213 | 212 | 537 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:59CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Marian Hossa, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 5:37NJDStephen GiontaAssists: Jon Merrill, Jacob Josefson · Deflected, 0.20 xG1–1
- P2 7:57CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Nick Leddy, Kris Versteeg · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
- P2 12:27CHIBryan BickellGWGAssists: Brandon Saad, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P3 0:59NJDMichael RyderUnassisted · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 5:54CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Marian Hossa, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–4
- P3 12:59CHINick LeddyPPAssists: Brent Seabrook, Brandon Saad · Slap, 0.04 xG2–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:53NJDAnton Volchenkov: Interference2 min
- P1 19:15NJDMarek Zidlicky: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:14NJDEric Gelinas: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 17:30CHIMichael Kostka: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 11:40NJDJaromir Jagr: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zajac won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestBernier – Henrique – Josefson3:32
xG 0.32–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Jagr – Elias – Boucher4:23
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Janssen – Gionta – Josefson3:45
xG 0.20–0.24 (45%)attempts 2–3goals 1–0
- Ryder – Henrique – Boucher7:31
xG 0.18–0.23 (43%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Gelinas – Merrill2:23
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Volchenkov – Merrill12:57
xG 0.61–0.60 (51%)attempts 8–13goals 1–1
- Zidlicky – Gelinas16:49
xG 0.42–0.54 (44%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews13:58
xG 0.84–0.26 (76%)attempts 20–7goals 2–0
- Bickell – Shaw – Saad8:41
xG 0.31–0.22 (59%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig9:53
xG 0.23–0.17 (57%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Handzus – Versteeg – Kane9:59
xG 0.21–0.32 (39%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook16:52
xG 1.06–0.36 (75%)attempts 26–10goals 2–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson17:05
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 11–8goals 0–0
- Kostka – Leddy14:28
xG 0.36–0.68 (35%)attempts 6–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).