Sat, Dec 28, 2013·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 5, St. Louis Blues 6 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 313 | 19 | 16 | 04 | 2 | 532 |
| STL | 16 | 212 | 26 | 01 | 3 | 625 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:48CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Marian Hossa, Jonathan Toews · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 9:55CHIAndrew ShawPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–0
- P1 14:04STLMaxim LapierreAssists: Carlo Colaiacovo, Ian Cole · Deflected, 0.11 xG2–1
- P1 17:04CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Duncan Keith, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 2:46STLJaden SchwartzAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Patrik Berglund · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
- P2 7:47STLDmitrij JaskinAssists: Jay Bouwmeester, Chris Porter · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–3
- P2 17:46CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Ben Smith, Marcus Kruger · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–3
- P3 1:06CHIBrent SeabrookAssists: Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.02 xG5–3
- P3 16:09STLVladimir TarasenkoAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Ian Cole · Wrist, 0.07 xG5–4
- P3 17:26STLPatrik BerglundPPAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Kevin Shattenkirk · Backhand, 0.10 xG5–5
Shootout
- 1. STL T.J. Oshie scored
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. STL Vladimir Tarasenko scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
- 5. STL Chris Stewart stopped
- 6. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 7. STL Jaden Schwartz stopped
- 8. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 9. STL Kevin Shattenkirk scored
- 10. CHI Brandon Saad stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 8:50STLVladimir Tarasenko: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 14:26CHIMichal Handzus: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:32CHIAndrew Shaw: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:21CHIPatrick Sharp: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:52CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Backes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHossa – Sharp – Toews13:27
xG 0.60–0.37 (62%)attempts 16–12goals 1–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig8:20
xG 0.05–0.26 (15%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
- Bickell – Shaw – Saad7:49
xG 0.22–0.46 (32%)attempts 7–8goals 0–1
- Handzus – Versteeg – Kane12:23
xG 0.36–0.60 (37%)attempts 9–17goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Hjalmarsson2:31
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Brookbank – Leddy9:43
xG 0.22–0.38 (37%)attempts 8–8goals 1–1
- Keith – Seabrook17:02
xG 0.59–1.02 (37%)attempts 15–27goals 1–2
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBerglund – Paajarvi – Tarasenko9:57
xG 0.60–0.21 (74%)attempts 16–7goals 1–1
- Morrow – Lapierre – Stewart10:50
xG 0.30–0.12 (72%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Backes – Oshie – Schwartz14:09
xG 0.54–0.44 (55%)attempts 16–9goals 0–1
- Porter – Cracknell – Jaskin4:53
xG 0.14–0.28 (33%)attempts 4–7goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestColaiacovo – Cole9:44
xG 0.59–0.30 (66%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo20:16
xG 0.88–0.60 (59%)attempts 21–16goals 1–1
- Jackman – Shattenkirk14:23
xG 0.56–0.29 (66%)attempts 13–11goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).