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Ice Lab

Centre · #10

Patrik Berglund

St. Louis Blues Buffalo Sabres(traded during the season)
Age
38
Shoots
Left
Height
193 cm
Weight
98 kg
Born
Västerås, SWE
Draft
2006, round 1, #25 (STL)

Career · 2009–10 to 2018–19

Games
641
Goals
149
Points
279
TOI per game
15:55
xGF% (5v5)
51.9%
Goals above expected
+16.0

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2009–10STL71131326−513:3012910.1%913.1–
2010–11STL81223052−317:1117512.6%1719.250.8%
2011–12STL82191938+417:5818810.1%425.854.3%
2012–13STL4817825−216:507423.0%68.743.9%
2013–14STL78141832+1016:101449.7%413.354.5%
2014–15STL77121527−214:351458.3%111.956.1%
2015–16STL4210515+115:298012.5%48.754.3%
2016–17STL82231134−715:5915315.0%818.451.0%
2017–18STL5717926−516:0911215.2%610.848.2%
2018–19BUF23224−513:03258.0%03.146.5%
Total2 teams641149130279−1415:551,22512.2%59133.051.9%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.2100200300400500600
10m12m14m16m18m20m100200300400500600Game

Player card

How 2009–10 to 2018–19 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

78th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8879th pct
  • Assists /600.7638th pct
  • ixG /600.7867th pct
  • Goals above expected+16.092nd pct

Play-driving

2nd line
  • xGF% (5v5)51.9%78th pct
  • CF% (5v5)52.5%84th pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.255th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.1127th pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game15:5575th pct
  • PP time share33.1%69th pct
  • Offensive zone starts51.9%38th pct
  • Quality of competition24.6%74th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Berglund wins the draw over 2009–10 to 2018–19, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1944+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.3%

3014–3222 · #140 of 191 regulars, 27th percentile

Against an average centre

48.7%

Opponents won 50.4% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.6% against them.

Wins above average

−81

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

10.4

6,236 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

50%1209 · +0.550%1161 · +2.044%838 · +1.952%316 · +0.146%237 · +0.647%303 · +0.744%223 · +0.652%1349 · +1.842%600 · +1.6Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone47.5% 948–1047
  • Neutral zone48.8% 1115–1172
  • Defensive zone48.7% 951–1003

By strength

  • Even strength48.4% 2484–2646
  • Power play52.2% 318–291
  • Shorthanded42.8% 200–267

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +13 after a win, −12 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2009–1050343.9%44.2%
2010–1197446.2%47.2%
2011–12116848.5%48.9%
2012–1360346.3%46.6%
2013–1478347.6%48.0%
2014–1532948.6%48.7%
2015–1627750.2%50.0%
2016–17116950.0%50.4%
2017–1831455.1%54.6%
2018–1911658.6%57.9%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+16.0 goals above expected

050100150100200300400500600Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100+150