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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 29, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Washington Capitals 1, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 87% of the time.

BUF winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ovechkin–Backstrom–JohanssonChimera–Erat–WardFehr–Grabovski–BrouwerBeagle–Volpatti–WilsonChimera–Fehr–BeagleGreen–OrlovErskine–OleksyAlzner–CarlsonCarlson–Orlov
Ott–Stafford–Flynn2:570.04–0.095:260.12–0.142:450.03–0.091:270.03–0.033:360.01–0.182:080.14–0.037:470.07–0.190:570.02–0.00
Moulson–Ennis–Girgensons3:220.30–0.022:160.01–0.213:160.07–0.361:130.00–0.000:460.08–0.004:340.37–0.182:510.08–0.084:100.01–0.44
Omark–Leino–Foligno2:390.04–0.032:190.00–0.002:500.04–0.121:230.00–0.006:040.08–0.12
Ellis–D'Agostini–Scott2:200.00–0.081:070.02–0.002:090.09–0.130:460.02–0.004:070.13–0.082:440.00–0.00
D'Agostini–Omark–Leino0:480.00–0.000:460.07–0.000:400.02–0.000:350.00–0.000:400.02–0.000:460.07–0.00
Ellis–D'Agostini–Leino0:460.00–0.030:440.03–0.000:460.00–0.030:300.00–0.00
Tallinder–Myers3:120.04–0.036:300.07–0.232:320.03–0.160:500.02–0.003:020.03–0.034:220.00–0.036:420.09–0.53
Ehrhoff–Pysyk7:470.12–0.151:340.12–0.092:580.00–0.181:140.04–0.036:450.08–0.222:310.18–0.054:290.05–0.16
Weber–McBain1:100.00–0.023:260.04–0.023:380.17–0.313:380.04–0.121:030.08–0.004:340.18–0.117:230.12–0.191:540.02–0.01
Weber–Myers0:460.00–0.031:030.02–0.071:140.00–0.040:570.00–0.06
Ehrhoff–McBain0:300.00–0.010:450.00–0.010:360.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Myers0:490.02–0.000:520.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndOtt FStafford FFlynn FMoulson FGirgensons FEnnis FD'Agostini FScott FEllis FOmark FLeino FFoligno FTallinder DMyers DPysyk DEhrhoff DMcBain DWeber DMiller GErat FChimera FWard FOvechkin FBackstrom FJohansson FFehr FBrouwer FGrabovski FVolpatti FWilson FBeagle FAlzner DCarlson DGreen DOrlov DErskine DOleksy DGrubauer G
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF3124:560:481:3017
Tyler MyersBUF3024:460:501:3418
John CarlsonWSH2824:120:522:0242
Mike GreenWSH2723:430:531:4961
Dmitry OrlovWSH2823:120:501:3751
Mark PysykBUF3022:170:451:1916
Alex OvechkinWSH2421:400:542:5761
Henrik TallinderBUF2821:050:451:1718
Steve OttBUF2620:430:481:1112
Drew StaffordBUF2620:350:481:2515
Karl AlznerWSH2720:160:451:3921
Nicklas BackstromWSH2520:010:481:1171
Brian FlynnBUF2519:410:471:1125
Mike WeberBUF2519:410:471:3355
Joel WardWSH2218:450:511:2261
Tyler EnnisBUF2318:440:491:2254
Marcus JohanssonWSH2518:130:441:0171
Jamie McBainBUF2217:410:481:3344
John ErskineWSH1917:290:551:3243
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2417:270:441:1866
Troy BrouwerWSH2317:210:451:1746
Steve OleksyWSH1917:120:541:2953
Martin EratWSH2217:040:471:1761
Matt MoulsonBUF2217:030:471:1763
Mikhail GrabovskiWSH2316:580:441:1746
Jason ChimeraWSH2116:380:481:0831
Eric FehrWSH2116:070:461:2516
Matt D'AgostiniBUF1814:170:481:2632
Ville LeinoBUF1613:300:511:1907
Linus OmarkBUF1512:450:511:1906
Jay BeagleWSH1511:310:461:2350
Matt EllisBUF1510:240:421:1722
Marcus FolignoBUF139:420:451:0115
Aaron VolpattiWSH129:140:461:0850
John ScottBUF128:430:441:2630
Tom WilsonWSH118:240:461:0650