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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Montréal Canadiens 6, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 69% of the time.

DAL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Murray, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 3:38Shot by Connauton, saved by Price
  5. P1 4:39Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 5:24Shot by Peverley, saved by Price
  7. P1 6:08Shot by Connauton, saved by Price
  8. P1 6:12Goal by Benn (Seguin, Connauton)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Gaunce, Chiasson, Connauton, Seguin · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  9. P1 8:12Galchenyuk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Sceviour, Jeffrey, Gaunce, Connauton · MTL Murray, Prust, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk

  10. P1 9:06Shot by Cole, saved by Price5v4
  11. P1 9:31Shot by Benn, saved by Price5v4
  12. P1 11:00Goal by Pacioretty (Subban)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Rome, Roussel, Dillon, Garbutt · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  13. P1 11:52Shot by Cole, saved by Price
  14. P1 11:57Shot by Gaunce, saved by Price
  15. P1 12:23Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Price
  16. P1 13:07Shot by Dillon, saved by Price
  17. P1 14:57Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 16:45Shot by Benn, saved by Price
  19. P1 18:13Nichushkin: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Peverley, Dillon, Nichushkin · MTL Bouillon, Gionta, Plekanec, Bourque, Subban

  20. P1 19:59Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:28Shot by Eakin, saved by Price
  24. P2 1:00Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P2 1:35Goal by Desharnais (Subban, Gallagher)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rome, Benn, Benn, Chiasson, Seguin · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  26. P2 1:56Shot by White, saved by Lehtonen
  27. P2 2:09Gaunce: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Peverley, Gaunce, Connauton, Nichushkin · MTL Murray, Moen, White, Bournival, Diaz

  28. P2 2:09White: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Cole, Peverley, Gaunce, Connauton, Nichushkin · MTL Murray, Moen, White, Bournival, Diaz

  29. P2 2:26Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 3:48Shot by Benn, saved by Price
  31. P2 4:21Shot by Garbutt, saved by Price
  32. P2 4:56Roussel: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Dillon, Garbutt · MTL Markov, Moen, Gorges, Eller, Bournival

  33. P2 4:56Moen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Dillon, Garbutt · MTL Markov, Moen, Gorges, Eller, Bournival

  34. P2 4:53Shot by Moen, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 5:02Cole: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Rome, Peverley, Benn, Nichushkin · MTL Gionta, Markov, Plekanec, Gorges, Bourque

  36. P2 5:02Plekanec: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Cole, Rome, Peverley, Benn, Nichushkin · MTL Gionta, Markov, Plekanec, Gorges, Bourque

  37. P2 5:23Gorges: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: DAL Rome, Peverley, Benn, Nichushkin · MTL Gionta, Markov, Gorges, Eller

  38. P2 5:23Goal by Nichushkin, unassistedother+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rome, Peverley, Benn, Nichushkin · MTL Gionta, Markov, Gorges, Eller

  39. P2 6:23Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  40. P2 6:30Goal by Subban (Pacioretty, Price)4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Dillon, Seguin · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty

  41. P2 7:08Shot by Diaz, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 4:50Shot by Bournival, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 9:58Pacioretty: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Peverley, Gaunce, Connauton, Nichushkin · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  44. P2 10:15Shot by Connauton, saved by Price5v4
  45. P2 10:50Shot by Eakin, saved by Price5v4
  46. P2 10:44Shot by Benn, saved by Price5v4
  47. P2 11:09Shot by Seguin, saved by Price5v4
  48. P2 12:41Shot by Bouillon, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P2 12:42Fiddler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Rome, Benn, Roussel, Garbutt · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  50. P2 13:07Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  51. P2 16:04Shot by Connauton, saved by Price
  52. P2 18:17Shot by Sceviour, saved by Price
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:02Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Price
  56. P3 3:08Eakin: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Jeffrey, Chiasson, Eakin, Dillon · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Eller, Gallagher

  57. P3 3:30Goal by Gallagher (Pacioretty, Desharnais)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Rome, Benn, Roussel · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  58. P3 3:42Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Price
  59. P3 5:40Shot by Fiddler, saved by Price
  60. P3 6:28Shot by Roussel, saved by Price
  61. P3 6:31Gallagher: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rome, Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt · MTL Markov, Moen, Gorges, Eller, Gallagher

  62. P3 7:21Shot by Goligoski, saved by Price5v4
  63. P3 7:42Goal by Seguin (Eakin, Connauton)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Peverley, Eakin, Connauton, Seguin, Nichushkin · MTL Markov, Murray, Prust, Eller

  64. P3 8:24Shot by Peverley, saved by Price
  65. P3 8:29Goal by Dillon (Goligoski, Peverley)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Peverley, Sceviour, Dillon · MTL Bouillon, Subban, Eller, Bournival, Galchenyuk

  66. P3 10:39Goal by Eller (Moen)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Gaunce, Seguin, Nichushkin · MTL Markov, Moen, Prust, Subban, Eller

  67. P3 11:08Shot by Eller, saved by Lehtonen
  68. P3 11:09Shot by Eller, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 11:34Shot by Desharnais, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 12:02Shot by Gionta, saved by Lehtonen
  71. P3 12:43Shot by Eller, saved by Lehtonen
  72. P3 13:33Shot by Desharnais, saved by Lehtonen
  73. P3 13:54Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehtonen
  74. P3 14:23Shot by Benn, saved by Price
  75. P3 17:21Shot by Bourque, saved by Lehtonen
  76. P3 18:29Shot by Connauton, saved by Price
  77. P3 18:38Shot by Connauton, saved by Price
  78. P3 18:56Goal by Pacioretty (Subban)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Peverley, Benn, Seguin, Nichushkin · MTL Bouillon, Subban, Pacioretty, Eller, Gallagher

  79. P3 19:39Roussel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Connauton, Garbutt · MTL Bouillon, Prust, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final