Sat, Jan 4, 2014·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, St. Louis Blues 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 26 | 06 | 012 | 224 |
| STL | 08 | 317 | 312 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:58CBJArtem AnisimovAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Murray · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P1 11:22CBJMark LetestuAssists: Blake Comeau, Curtis McElhinney · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P2 7:03STLPatrik BerglundAssists: Barret Jackman, Kevin Shattenkirk · Slap, 0.01 xG2–1
- P2 15:55STLVladimir SobotkaAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Kevin Shattenkirk · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–2
- P2 17:29STLMaxim LapierreGWGAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Jay Bouwmeester · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 0:14STLPatrik BerglundAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Vladimir Sobotka · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–4
- P3 8:47STLJaden SchwartzAssists: David Backes, T.J. Oshie · Wrist, 0.45 xG2–5
- P3 14:13STLAlex PietrangeloAssists: T.J. Oshie, David Backes · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–6
Penalties (4)
- P1 9:05STLJaden Schwartz: Interference2 min
- P2 10:30CBJFedor Tyutin: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 10:45STLMagnus Paajarvi: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:45CBJBoone Jenner: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Berglund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Comeau – Letestu – Tropp3:26
xG 0.15–0.11 (57%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen10:19
xG 0.30–0.33 (48%)attempts 9–11goals 0–2
- Comeau – Letestu – Atkinson6:15
xG 0.09–0.12 (41%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Craig – Tropp – Jenner3:40
xG 0.01–0.06 (15%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Nikitin – Savard18:27
xG 0.26–0.40 (40%)attempts 13–19goals 1–0
- Tyutin – Johnson17:39
xG 0.32–0.68 (32%)attempts 14–22goals 0–2
- Wisniewski – Murray13:54
xG 0.44–1.08 (29%)attempts 8–16goals 1–4
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSobotka – Berglund – Tarasenko11:44
xG 0.86–0.32 (73%)attempts 20–9goals 3–1
- Lapierre – Reaves – Paajarvi9:38
xG 0.36–0.06 (85%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Backes – Oshie – Schwartz12:57
xG 0.72–0.42 (63%)attempts 13–7goals 2–0
- Morrow – Roy – Stewart11:13
xG 0.22–0.16 (58%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJackman – Shattenkirk18:02
xG 0.99–0.28 (78%)attempts 21–10goals 3–1
- Bouwmeester – Pietrangelo17:29
xG 0.74–0.42 (64%)attempts 19–8goals 3–0
- Leopold – Cole14:34
xG 0.52–0.27 (65%)attempts 17–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).