Mon, Jan 6, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, New York Rangers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 110 | 210 | 013 | 06 | 2 | 439 |
| NYR | 116 | 015 | 211 | 01 | 0 | 343 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:07CBJBrandon DubinskyAssists: Nathan Horton, James Wisniewski · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 19:07NYRRick NashPPAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.07 xG1–1
- P2 1:01CBJCam AtkinsonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.32 xG2–1
- P2 16:47CBJJames WisniewskiAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Nick Foligno · Snap, 0.11 xG3–1
- P3 4:53NYRBrian BoyleAssists: Dominic Moore, John Moore · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–2
- P3 6:55NYRRick NashPPAssists: Brad Richards, Ryan Callahan · Snap, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NYR Mats Zuccarello stopped
- 2. CBJ Mark Letestu scored
- 3. NYR Rick Nash stopped
- 4. CBJ Ryan Johansen scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:56CBJBlake Comeau: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:06NYRChris Kreider: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:36CBJMark Letestu: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 0:21NYRChris Kreider: Boarding5 min
- P2 0:21NYRChris Kreider: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 0:21CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P2 6:52CBJCorey Tropp: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:27CBJNick Foligno: High sticking2 min
- P3 6:38CBJDavid Savard: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 17:00CBJCorey Tropp: Tripping2 min
- OT 3:50NYRDerek Stepan: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Umberger – Foligno – Johansen8:15
xG 0.43–0.49 (47%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Craig – Atkinson – Jenner4:32
xG 0.01–0.11 (11%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Comeau – Letestu – Tropp6:55
xG 0.41–0.57 (42%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Horton – Dubinsky – Anisimov9:33
xG 0.30–0.97 (24%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSavard – Murray2:43
xG 0.37–0.22 (63%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
- Wisniewski – Murray8:12
xG 0.50–0.41 (55%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Wisniewski – Nikitin4:20
xG 0.22–0.14 (61%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Callahan – Hagelin10:09
xG 0.92–0.16 (85%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Nash – Stepan – Kreider3:02
xG 0.30–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Nash – Stepan – Miller4:19
xG 0.41–0.24 (63%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Pouliot – Brassard – Zuccarello7:39
xG 0.58–0.47 (55%)attempts 11–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStaal – Stralman13:45
xG 1.08–0.45 (71%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Girardi – McDonagh13:35
xG 0.91–0.68 (57%)attempts 15–16goals 0–1
- Del Zotto – Moore10:43
xG 0.56–0.49 (54%)attempts 7–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).