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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 6, 2014·Pepsi Center, Denver

Calgary Flames 4, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Calgary Flames

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 60% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:08Goal by Monahan (Stempniak, Wideman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Talbot, Benoit, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Wideman, Stempniak, Smid, Byron, Monahan

  3. P1 5:37Cammalleri: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Cliche, Johnson, McGinn, Malone · CGY Cammalleri, Hudler, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie

  4. P1 6:16Shot by Duchene, saved by Ramo5v4
  5. P1 7:11Shot by Benoit, saved by Ramo5v4
  6. P1 7:17Goal by MacKinnon (Stastny, Benoit)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Benoit, Stastny, Holden, Landeskog, MacKinnon · CGY Stajan, Smid, Byron, Brodie

  7. P1 8:10Shot by Stempniak, saved by Giguere
  8. P1 9:51Shot by Bouma, saved by Giguere
  9. P1 12:01Shot by Talbot, saved by Ramo
  10. P1 13:42Westgarth: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Mitchell, McLeod, O'Reilly · CGY Wideman, Stempniak, Smid, Byron, Monahan

  11. P1 13:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo5v4
  12. P1 14:32Goal by MacKinnon (Stastny, Barrie)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Benoit, Stastny, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · CGY Stempniak, Smid, Backlund, Brodie

  13. P1 16:57Shot by Cliche, saved by Ramo
  14. P1 18:03Shot by Colborne, saved by Giguere
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:26Stastny: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, O'Reilly, Landeskog · CGY Cammalleri, Hudler, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie

  18. P2 0:48Shot by Cliche, saved by Ramo4v5
  19. P2 1:11Shot by Mitchell, saved by Ramo4v5
  20. P2 1:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo4v5
  21. P2 2:25Shot by Brodie, saved by Giguere4v5
  22. P2 5:52Shot by Galiardi, saved by Giguere
  23. P2 6:21Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ramo
  24. P2 7:18Shot by Sarich, saved by Ramo
  25. P2 8:15Shot by McGinn, saved by Ramo
  26. P2 8:25Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Giguere
  27. P2 9:48Shot by Malone, saved by Ramo
  28. P2 11:12Westgarth: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, O'Reilly, Landeskog · CGY Wideman, Giordano, Westgarth, Galiardi, Colborne

  29. P2 14:45Shot by Holden, saved by Ramo
  30. P2 14:54Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Giguere
  31. P2 15:10Goal by Colborne (Galiardi, O'Brien)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Benoit, Bordeleau, Cliche, Malone · CGY O'Brien, Butler, Westgarth, Galiardi, Colborne

  32. P2 16:16Shot by Duchene, saved by Ramo
  33. P2 16:39Shot by Stempniak, saved by Giguere
  34. P2 17:38Goal by Hudler (Giordano, Backlund)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Mitchell, McLeod, McGinn, Barrie · CGY Cammalleri, Hudler, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie

  35. P2 18:12Colborne: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Benoit, Stastny, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog · CGY Giordano, Westgarth, Galiardi, Colborne, Brodie

  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P2 19:59Shot by McGinn, saved by Ramo5v4
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 3:55Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Giguere
  40. P3 4:25Shot by O'Brien, saved by Giguere
  41. P3 5:16Shot by Westgarth, saved by Giguere
  42. P3 6:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo
  43. P3 7:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo
  44. P3 7:12Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo
  45. P3 7:37Shot by McGinn, saved by Ramo
  46. P3 9:33Goal by Stastny (Landeskog, Hejda)+29 pts WP

    On ice: COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, O'Reilly, Landeskog · CGY Stempniak, Giordano, Backlund, Bouma, Brodie

  47. P3 10:18Shot by Westgarth, saved by Giguere
  48. P3 10:16Shot by Monahan, saved by Giguere
  49. P3 11:24McGinn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Talbot, Hejda, Johnson, McGinn, Duchene · CGY Giordano, Westgarth, Galiardi, Colborne, Brodie

  50. P3 14:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo
  51. P3 15:06McGinn: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Talbot, Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, O'Reilly, Duchene · CGY Cammalleri, Hudler, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie

  52. P3 15:30Shot by Cammalleri, saved by Giguere4v5
  53. P3 16:30Goal by Cammalleri (Hudler, Colborne)4v5+38 pts WP

    On ice: COL Sarich, Talbot, Benoit, Cliche · CGY Cammalleri, Wideman, Hudler, Giordano, Colborne

  54. P3 17:46Shot by McGinn, saved by Ramo
  55. P3 18:09Shot by Bouma, saved by Giguere
  56. P3 18:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo6v5
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Final