Tue, Jan 7, 2014·Honda Center, Anaheim
Boston Bruins 2, Anaheim Ducks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 016 | 17 | 19 | 232 |
| ANA | 03 | 39 | 28 | 520 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:53ANAMathieu PerreaultPPAssists: Teemu Selanne, Sami Vatanen · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 8:29ANACorey PerryPPAssists: Matt Beleskey, Nick Bonino · Wrist, 0.32 xG0–2
- P2 17:10ANAAndrew CoglianoSHGWGAssists: Daniel Winnik · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–3
- P2 19:44BOSDaniel PailleAssists: Justin Florek, Gregory Campbell · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 7:19BOSDougie HamiltonAssists: Carl Soderberg, Jarome Iginla · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–3
- P3 14:23ANANick BoninoPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 17:29ANAMathieu PerreaultAssists: Teemu Selanne, Patrick Maroon · Snap, 0.07 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 3:53ANAMatt Beleskey: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:41BOSDougie Hamilton: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 8:19BOSJohnny Boychuk: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 15:56ANACorey Perry: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:02BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:02ANAPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P3 12:07ANASaku Koivu: High sticking2 min
- P3 12:35BOSBrad Marchand: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCampbell – Paille – Florek10:57
xG 1.08–0.04 (97%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith13:47
xG 1.00–0.39 (72%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Iginla – Soderberg – Krejci15:19
xG 0.51–0.40 (56%)attempts 17–10goals 1–1
- Paille – Fraser – Spooner4:35
xG 0.08–0.41 (16%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestChara – Hamilton12:43
xG 0.57–0.14 (80%)attempts 12–6goals 1–0
- Boychuk – Krug6:34
xG 0.57–0.20 (74%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Boychuk – Bartkowski8:07
xG 0.52–0.28 (65%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestSelanne – Perreault – Maroon8:48
xG 0.52–0.07 (88%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Bonino – Palmieri – Silfverberg13:16
xG 0.35–0.66 (35%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Beleskey12:33
xG 0.27–0.63 (30%)attempts 7–18goals 0–0
- Koivu – Winnik – Cogliano10:43
xG 0.14–0.86 (14%)attempts 7–11goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Beauchemin – Lindholm17:20
xG 0.69–0.68 (50%)attempts 12–21goals 1–1
- Fistric – Vatanen13:57
xG 0.22–0.31 (41%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Lovejoy – Fowler17:44
xG 0.57–1.57 (27%)attempts 17–20goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).