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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 9, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Shot by Barkov, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:19Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 1:27Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 1:49Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 3:33Shot by Barkov, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 3:39Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 4:35Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 4:44Shot by Foligno, saved by Thomas
  10. P1 4:58Shot by McNabb, saved by Thomas
  11. P1 5:33Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 7:52Jovanovski: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, McBain, Ennis, McNabb, Girgensons · FLA Jovanovski, Fleischmann, Upshall, Bjugstad, Gudbranson

  13. P1 8:34Shot by McBain, saved by Thomas5v4
  14. P1 10:06Shot by Girgensons, saved by Thomas
  15. P1 11:23Shot by Boyes, saved by Enroth
  16. P1 11:46Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Thomas
  17. P1 13:15Shot by Moulson, saved by Thomas
  18. P1 13:20Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Thomas
  19. P1 13:23Scott: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Konopka, Ellis, Scott, Pysyk · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Goc, Gilbert, Upshall

  20. P1 13:50Shot by Barkov, saved by Enroth4v5
  21. P1 16:05Hayes: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Ennis, McNabb, Pysyk, Girgensons · FLA Barch, Weaver, Hayes, Shore, Gudbranson

  22. P1 18:03Shot by Ellis, saved by Thomas5v4
  23. P1 19:16Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth
  24. P1 19:20Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  25. P1 19:48Shot by Goc, saved by Enroth
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:21Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Enroth
  29. P2 2:18Shot by Ennis, saved by Thomas
  30. P2 4:24Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth
  31. P2 5:13Goal by McBain (Ott, D'Agostini)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, D'Agostini, McBain, McNabb, Larsson · FLA Fleischmann, Gilbert, Upshall, Bjugstad, Gudbranson

  32. P2 6:13Shot by Flynn, saved by Thomas
  33. P2 6:54Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Enroth
  34. P2 7:14Shot by Shore, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 7:41Shot by Moulson, saved by Thomas
  36. P2 9:20Shot by Weber, saved by Thomas
  37. P2 11:26Shot by Girgensons, saved by Thomas
  38. P2 12:03Shot by Kopecky, saved by Enroth
  39. P2 14:15Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Enroth
  40. P2 14:49Sulzer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Sulzer, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · FLA Fleischmann, Gilbert, Upshall, Bjugstad, Gudbranson

  41. P2 15:19Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth4v5
  42. P2 15:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Enroth4v5
  43. P2 16:19Omark: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Weber, McNabb, Larsson · FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Kopecky, Bjugstad, Huberdeau

  44. P2 16:36Shot by Boyes, saved by Enroth3v5
  45. P2 17:37Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth4v5
  46. P2 17:59Shot by Gilbert, saved by Enroth4v5
  47. P2 18:17Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Enroth4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:41Shot by Kulikov, saved by Enroth
  51. P3 1:59Shot by Goc, saved by Enroth
  52. P3 2:19Scott: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Konopka, Ellis, McBain, Scott, McNabb · FLA Campbell, Barch, Gilbert, Hayes, Shore

  53. P3 4:16Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth4v5
  54. P3 4:26Shot by Goc, saved by Enroth
  55. P3 6:29Shot by Flynn, saved by Thomas
  56. P3 6:55Shot by Larsson, saved by Thomas
  57. P3 8:47Shot by Ellis, saved by Thomas
  58. P3 9:12Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Enroth
  59. P3 9:16Goal by Boyes (Gilbert, Bergenheim)+32 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Konopka, Ellis, Sulzer, Weber, Foligno · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Bergenheim, Barkov

  60. P3 10:01Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Thomas
  61. P3 12:28Shot by Kulikov, saved by Enroth
  62. P3 13:58Shot by Girgensons, saved by Thomas
  63. P3 14:41Shot by McBain, saved by Thomas
  64. P3 15:01Shot by Kulikov, saved by Enroth
  65. P3 16:29Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Enroth
  66. P3 17:42Shot by Pysyk, saved by Thomas
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 1:16Shot by McNabb, saved by Thomas4v4
  70. OT 1:17Shot by Flynn, saved by Thomas4v4
  71. OT 1:38Shot by Upshall, saved by Enroth4v4
  72. OT 3:30Shot by McBain, saved by Thomas4v4
  73. OT 5:00Period end
  74. SO Period start
  75. SO Shot by Ennis, saved by Thomasother
  76. SO Shot by Barkov, saved by Enrothother
  77. SO Shot by Moulson, saved by Thomasother
  78. SO Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Enrothother
  79. SO Shot by Ott, saved by Thomasother
  80. SO Goal by Boyes, unassistedother
  81. SO Period end
  82. SO Final