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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 10, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Dallas Stars 2, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:22Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Lehtonen
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  5. P1 1:39Shot by Staal, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 2:27Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 2:36Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 2:42Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lehtonen
  9. P1 2:44Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  10. P1 3:26Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  11. P1 4:06Goal by Eakin (Garbutt, Benn)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · DAL Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Dillon, Garbutt

  12. P1 4:24Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 8:13Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 10:32Shot by Peverley, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 10:51Shot by Gonchar, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 11:20Goal by Callahan (Richards, Pouliot)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Pouliot, Girardi, McDonagh · DAL Gonchar, Benn, Dillon, Seguin, Nichushkin

  17. P1 14:59Shot by Richards, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 15:33Shot by Whitney, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 17:47Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 18:35Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:47Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 2:01Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 3:34Goal by Garbutt (Roussel, Eakin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · DAL Gonchar, Rome, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt

  26. P2 4:04Shot by Chiasson, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 4:07Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 5:27Shot by Richards, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 6:16Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 7:31Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 7:52Horcoff: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Kreider · DAL Whitney, Horcoff, Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski

  32. P2 8:05Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  33. P2 8:22Goal by Brassard (Zuccarello, Richards)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello · DAL Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski, Roussel

  34. P2 9:51Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 10:14Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 10:19Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 14:09Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 15:14Shot by Rome, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 15:21Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 15:23Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 16:27Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 18:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 18:14Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lehtonen
  44. P2 18:49Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen
  45. P2 18:53Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 19:27Shot by Richards, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 19:41Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:27Garbutt: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · DAL Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt

  51. P3 0:27Hagelin: Diving (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin · DAL Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt

  52. P3 1:21Cole: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Brassard, Del Zotto, Kreider, Moore · DAL Cole, Goligoski, Benn, Dillon

  53. P3 1:45Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen4v3
  54. P3 2:12Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen4v3
  55. P3 4:09Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  56. P3 4:31Shot by Peverley, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 5:00Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen
  58. P3 5:05Shot by Pouliot, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 5:40Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 6:12Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 7:45Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  62. P3 9:28Shot by Cole, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 10:14Shot by Staal, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 11:06Shot by Pouliot, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 11:30Moore: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Brassard, McDonagh, Moore, Zuccarello · DAL Benn, Roussel, Dillon, Seguin, Garbutt

  66. P3 15:58Shot by Peverley, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 16:43Shot by Roussel, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 18:02Shot by Kreider, saved by Lehtonen
  69. P3 18:02Goal by Nash (Kreider, Stepan)+45 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Stralman, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · DAL Gonchar, Horcoff, Rome, Peverley, Chiasson

  70. P3 19:46Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final