Sat, Jan 11, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Detroit Red Wings 3, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 19 | 09 | 28 | 326 |
| LAK | 110 | 015 | 020 | 145 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:10LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Mike Richards · Slap, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 17:11DETRiley SheahanAssists: Tomas Tatar, Brendan Smith · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P3 12:06DETTomas TatarGWGAssists: Riley Sheahan, Todd Bertuzzi · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–1
- P3 17:26DETDaniel ClearyAssists: Luke Glendening · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:08LAKKyle Clifford: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:08DETKyle Quincey: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 13:45DETJoakim Andersson: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 3:12LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:09DETHenrik Zetterberg: Concealing puck2 min
- P2 9:46DETBrendan Smith: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:46LAKColin Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:04LAKJeff Carter: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 18:31LAKJake Muzzin: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:22DETTodd Bertuzzi: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zetterberg won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- Cleary – Eaves – Glendening7:45
xG 0.17–0.13 (58%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Eaves – Abdelkader – Glendening2:32
xG 0.06–0.11 (36%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Tatar – Sheahan5:34
xG 0.49–0.57 (46%)attempts 5–9goals 2–0
- Miller – Tatar – Sheahan2:04
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Kronwall – Smith12:22
xG 0.43–0.66 (39%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Quincey – DeKeyser11:03
xG 0.52–0.82 (39%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
- Kindl – Lashoff9:16
xG 0.52–0.99 (35%)attempts 6–16goals 2–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Frattin – Toffoli8:54
xG 0.97–0.40 (71%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Williams – Stoll – Brown9:32
xG 0.54–0.03 (95%)attempts 13–2goals 0–0
- Carter – Kopitar – King10:59
xG 0.87–0.37 (70%)attempts 19–8goals 0–0
- Fraser – Lewis – Clifford5:58
xG 0.53–0.08 (87%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMitchell – Voynov10:55
xG 0.83–0.04 (95%)attempts 16–4goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Doughty14:54
xG 1.17–0.69 (63%)attempts 18–12goals 0–1
- Regehr – Martinez9:43
xG 0.89–0.58 (60%)attempts 19–8goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).