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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 12, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Philadelphia Flyers 1, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Hagelin, saved by Emery
  3. P1 2:09Shot by Boyle, saved by Emery
  4. P1 2:14Goal by Carcillo, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hall, Streit, Rosehill, Grossmann, VandeVelde

  5. P1 2:42Goal by Nash (Kreider, McDonagh)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl

  6. P1 3:26Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 4:20Shot by Moore, saved by Emery
  9. P1 4:23Shot by Moore, saved by Emery
  10. P1 4:41Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 5:40Shot by Staal, saved by Emery
  12. P1 6:20Girardi: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Simmonds, Schenn

  13. P1 6:32Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 6:37Shot by Hartnell, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  15. P1 7:16Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  16. P1 7:21Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  17. P1 7:27Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  18. P1 8:02Shot by Streit, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 8:55Shot by Richards, saved by Emery
  20. P1 9:24Goal by Brassard (Zuccarello, Pouliot)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Del Zotto, Moore, Zuccarello · PHI Hall, Coburn, Grossmann, Couturier, Raffl

  21. P1 9:58Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 10:18Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 10:24Shot by Coburn, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 12:08Shot by Brassard, saved by Emery6v5
  25. P1 12:08Grossmann: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Brassard, Del Zotto, Moore, Zuccarello · PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Grossmann, McGinn, Couturier

  26. P1 13:43Shot by Richards, saved by Emery5v4
  27. P1 14:26Shot by Timonen, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P1 15:03Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P1 16:02Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P1 16:32Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Emery
  31. P1 18:15Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Brassard, Zuccarello · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Simmonds, Schenn

  32. P1 18:21Shot by McDonagh, saved by Emery5v4
  33. P1 19:02Shot by Hall, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  34. P1 19:59Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  35. P1 0:00VandeVelde: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider · PHI Grossmann, VandeVelde, Schenn, Raffl

  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 1:21Shot by Richards, saved by Emery5v4
  39. P2 1:45Shot by Nash, saved by Emery5v4
  40. P2 2:19Shot by Nash, saved by Emery
  41. P2 4:45Shot by Stepan, saved by Emery
  42. P2 4:49Shot by Nash, saved by Emery
  43. P2 5:19Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 5:38Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Emery
  45. P2 7:05Schenn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Lecavalier, Meszaros, Schenn, McGinn, Couturier

  46. P2 7:05Carcillo: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Lecavalier, Meszaros, Schenn, McGinn, Couturier

  47. P2 7:18Shot by Meszaros, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P2 8:02Shot by Nash, saved by Emery
  49. P2 9:01Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 9:23Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 9:47Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Emery
  52. P2 9:48Streit: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Richards, Pouliot, Del Zotto, Moore, Zuccarello · PHI Streit, Hartnell, Grossmann, Simmonds, Schenn

  53. P2 10:50Shot by Brassard, saved by Emery5v4
  54. P2 11:37Grossmann: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, Del Zotto, Stepan, Kreider · PHI Hall, Meszaros, Grossmann, Couturier

  55. P2 12:33Shot by Richards, saved by Emery5v4
  56. P2 12:48Shot by Richards, saved by Emery5v4
  57. P2 12:54Shot by Richards, saved by Emery5v4
  58. P2 13:18Goal by Kreider (Richards)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Richards, Nash, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider · PHI Hall, Coburn, Meszaros, Couturier

  59. P2 13:32Shot by Streit, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P2 14:21Shot by Boyle, saved by Emery
  61. P2 15:40Shot by Kreider, saved by Emery
  62. P2 18:39Shot by Streit, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 0:19Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 0:58Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 1:18Shot by Nash, saved by Emery
  69. P3 1:42Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 2:49Shot by Richards, saved by Emery
  71. P3 3:35Shot by Pouliot, saved by Emery
  72. P3 4:56Zuccarello: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Del Zotto, Stepan, Kreider, Moore, Zuccarello · PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Grossmann, Giroux, McGinn, Couturier

  73. P3 5:09Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  74. P3 6:49Goal by Streit (Couturier, Lecavalier)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Staal, Stralman, Stepan · PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Schenn, McGinn, Couturier

  75. P3 7:39Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 7:39McDonagh: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Brassard, McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello · PHI Streit, Grossmann, Giroux, Simmonds, Raffl

  77. P3 10:54Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  78. P3 11:22Shot by Richards, saved by Emery
  79. P3 11:37Shot by Pouliot, saved by Emery
  80. P3 11:59Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Emery
  81. P3 13:46Shot by Stralman, saved by Emery
  82. P3 13:54Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 14:27Shot by Grossmann, saved by Lundqvist
  84. P3 16:06Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  85. P3 16:07Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  86. P3 17:05Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  87. P3 17:38Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  88. P3 17:47Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  89. P3 19:49Schenn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  90. P3 19:49Moore: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  91. P3 19:49Schenn: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  92. P3 19:49Simmonds: Misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  93. P3 19:49Carcillo: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  94. P3 19:49Schenn: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  95. P3 19:49Boyle: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Del Zotto, Moore · PHI Hartnell, Meszaros, Simmonds, Schenn, Schenn

  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final