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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Los Angeles Kings 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsLAK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Doughty, saved by Howard
  3. P1 0:48Shot by Lewis, saved by Howard
  4. P1 1:36Shot by Kopitar, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:19Shot by Mitchell, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:33Shot by Nyquist, saved by Quick
  7. P1 4:33Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Quick
  8. P1 4:57Shot by Sheahan, saved by Quick
  9. P1 5:44Shot by Emmerton, saved by Quick
  10. P1 6:07Shot by Doughty, saved by Howard
  11. P1 6:10Shot by King, saved by Howard
  12. P1 6:33Shot by Eaves, saved by Quick
  13. P1 9:20Shot by Lewis, saved by Howard
  14. P1 10:13Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Quick
  15. P1 13:40Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Quick
  16. P1 13:47Muzzin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist · LAK Carter, Brown, Kopitar, Muzzin, Doughty

  17. P1 15:22Bertuzzi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Cleary, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Jurco · LAK Regehr, Fraser, Voynov, Clifford

  18. P1 18:43Shot by King, saved by Howard
  19. P1 19:43Shot by Quincey, saved by Quick
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:43Shot by Smith, saved by Quick
  23. P2 2:00Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard
  24. P2 2:11Shot by Mitchell, saved by Howard
  25. P2 2:21Shot by Voynov, saved by Howard
  26. P2 2:55Kindl: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Cleary, Eaves, Kindl, Lashoff, Sheahan · LAK Regehr, Stoll, Lewis, King, Martinez

  27. P2 3:17Shot by Frattin, saved by Howard4v5
  28. P2 4:01Shot by Kopitar, saved by Howard4v5
  29. P2 4:09Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard4v5
  30. P2 4:46Shot by Mitchell, saved by Howard4v5
  31. P2 5:43Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Quick
  32. P2 8:17Smith: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist · LAK Carter, Brown, Kopitar, Muzzin, Doughty

  33. P2 9:06Goal by Richards (Voynov)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Miller, Emmerton, Lashoff · LAK Williams, Brown, Richards, Martinez, Voynov

  34. P2 9:28Shot by Sheahan, saved by Quick
  35. P2 9:34Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Quick
  36. P2 9:47Goal by Zetterberg (Nyquist, Smith)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist · LAK Carter, Brown, Kopitar, Muzzin, Doughty

  37. P2 9:55Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Quick
  38. P2 9:58Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Quick
  39. P2 11:40Shot by Richards, saved by Howard
  40. P2 11:44Richards: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lashoff, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser · LAK Richards, Muzzin, Frattin, Doughty, Nolan

  41. P2 11:44Howard: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Lashoff, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser · LAK Richards, Muzzin, Frattin, Doughty, Nolan

  42. P2 12:39Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard4v4
  43. P2 13:56Shot by Williams, saved by Howard
  44. P2 16:29Shot by Stoll, saved by Howard
  45. P2 16:51Shot by Emmerton, saved by Quick
  46. P2 17:26Shot by Frattin, saved by Howard
  47. P2 18:02Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Quick
  48. P2 18:13Shot by Kopitar, saved by Howard
  49. P2 18:31Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  50. P2 18:41Shot by King, saved by Howard
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 5:27Shot by Richards, saved by Howard
  54. P3 5:33Shot by Williams, saved by Howard
  55. P3 7:10Shot by Stoll, saved by Howard
  56. P3 7:47Shot by Jurco, saved by Quick
  57. P3 8:07Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Quick
  58. P3 8:08Shot by Jurco, saved by Quick
  59. P3 9:03Shot by Voynov, saved by Howard
  60. P3 9:13Kindl: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Eaves, Kindl, Nyquist, Lashoff · LAK Regehr, Fraser, King, Voynov, Nolan

  61. P3 9:13Fraser: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Eaves, Kindl, Nyquist, Lashoff · LAK Regehr, Fraser, King, Voynov, Nolan

  62. P3 9:58Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Quick5v4
  63. P3 9:58Williams: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser · LAK Mitchell, Stoll, Richards, Voynov

  64. P3 11:17Shot by Kronwall, saved by Quick5v4
  65. P3 12:11Shot by Williams, saved by Howard
  66. P3 13:01Shot by Nyquist, saved by Quick
  67. P3 13:22Shot by Smith, saved by Quick
  68. P3 13:31Shot by Cleary, saved by Quick
  69. P3 14:25Shot by Quincey, saved by Quick
  70. P3 15:42Shot by Cleary, saved by Quick
  71. P3 15:42Shot by Tatar, saved by Quick
  72. P3 16:52Kronwall: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Eaves, Miller, Emmerton, Smith · LAK Fraser, Muzzin, Doughty, Clifford, Nolan

  73. P3 17:26Shot by Kopitar, saved by Howard4v5
  74. P3 17:45Goal by Carter (Richards, Doughty)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: DET Cleary, Quincey, Lashoff, Glendening · LAK Carter, Richards, Kopitar, Muzzin, Doughty

  75. P3 18:15King: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist · LAK Stoll, Lewis, King, Muzzin, Doughty

  76. P3 19:08Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Quick5v4
  77. P3 19:33Goal by Kronwall (Zetterberg, Eaves)6v4+45 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Eaves, Nyquist, Tatar · LAK Mitchell, Stoll, Kopitar, Doughty

  78. P3 19:47Shot by Richards, saved by Howard
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 0:30Shot by Jurco, saved by Quick4v4
  82. OT 0:22Shot by Kronwall, saved by Quick4v4
  83. OT 0:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Quick4v4
  84. OT 3:41Shot by Smith, saved by Quick4v4
  85. OT 4:38Shot by Jurco, saved by Quick4v4
  86. OT 5:00Period end
  87. SO Period start
  88. SO Goal by Tatar, unassistedother
  89. SO Shot by Kopitar, saved by Howardother
  90. SO Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Quickother
  91. SO Shot by Jurco, saved by Quickother
  92. SO Shot by Richards, saved by Howardother
  93. SO Period end
  94. SO Final