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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2014·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 5, Nashville Predators 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 66% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 0:49Nystrom: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Nystrom, Bartley, Ellis, Bourque · COL Talbot, Mitchell, McLeod, Wilson, Barrie

  4. P1 0:49McLeod: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Nystrom, Bartley, Ellis, Bourque · COL Talbot, Mitchell, McLeod, Wilson, Barrie

  5. P1 1:21Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 1:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 1:46Shot by Cliche, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 2:09Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 2:24Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 3:30Shot by Cullen, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 5:30Shot by Holden, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 6:08Shot by Holden, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 6:21Goal by Holden (MacKinnon, Stastny)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Gaustad, Hornqvist, Ekholm, Jones · COL Benoit, Stastny, Holden, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  14. P1 6:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 8:03Shot by Bartley, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 9:32Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 10:48Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 11:04Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 11:27Goal by Hejda (Mitchell, Talbot)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Nystrom, Bartley, Ellis, Bourque · COL Talbot, Hejda, Mitchell, McLeod, Barrie

  20. P1 12:02Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 12:05Goal by Landeskog (Stastny, MacKinnon)+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Hornqvist, Wilson, Ekholm, Jones · COL Benoit, Stastny, Holden, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  22. P1 12:27Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 14:41Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 16:37Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P1 18:53Shot by Spaling, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:40Shot by Nystrom, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 3:40Wilson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Hornqvist, Bartley, Wilson, Ellis · COL Stastny, Wilson, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  30. P2 5:25Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov5v4
  31. P2 5:40Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov5v4
  32. P2 5:45Shot by Bartley, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 6:26Shot by Stastny, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 7:03Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 7:17Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 7:44Shot by Jones, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 10:19Shot by Benoit, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 11:33Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 12:59Shot by Cliche, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 14:01Landeskog: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Bartley, Wilson, Ellis · COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  41. P2 14:01Johnson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Bartley, Wilson, Ellis · COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  42. P2 14:01Gaustad: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Bartley, Wilson, Ellis · COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  43. P2 14:01Johnson: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Bartley, Wilson, Ellis · COL Hejda, Stastny, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  44. P2 14:36Goal by Hornqvist (Fisher, Legwand)5v3+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Fisher, Weber, Hornqvist, Ellis · COL Talbot, Hejda, Holden

  45. P2 15:18Shot by Legwand, saved by Varlamov5v4
  46. P2 16:46Shot by Benoit, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P2 17:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P2 17:41Shot by Bartley, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 19:11Shot by Clune, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:35Shot by Holden, saved by Dubnyk
  53. P3 0:58Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 2:06Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk
  55. P3 2:31Goal by Holden (Mitchell, McLeod)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Nystrom, Ekholm, Bourque, Jones · COL Talbot, Mitchell, McLeod, Wilson, Holden

  56. P3 3:12Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 4:51Clune: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Clune, Stalberg, Ekholm, Jones · COL Talbot, Mitchell, McLeod, Wilson, Barrie

  58. P3 6:31Goal by Duchene (Holden, O'Reilly)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Bartley, Bourque, Jones · COL Johnson, McGinn, Holden, O'Reilly, Duchene

  59. P3 6:44Shot by Jones, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 6:46Shot by Cullen, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 6:57Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 8:14Goal by Smith (Spaling, Josi)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Weber, Spaling, Josi, Smith · COL Hejda, Johnson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Duchene

  63. P3 9:22Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk
  64. P3 9:46Stastny: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Legwand, Bartley, Spaling, Ellis, Smith · COL Talbot, Hejda, McLeod, Stastny, Johnson

  65. P3 10:51Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  66. P3 12:45Goal by Ellis, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Stalberg, Bartley, Ellis, Bourque · COL Johnson, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  67. P3 13:16Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 15:31Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 16:02Shot by Spaling, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 17:03Goal by Josi (Stalberg, Ellis)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Weber, Stalberg, Josi, Bourque · COL Benoit, Stastny, Holden, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  71. P3 18:37Shot by Hejda, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 18:51Shot by Cliche, saved by Dubnyk
  73. P3 19:40Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov6v5
  74. P3 19:51Shot by Legwand, saved by Varlamov6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final