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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 21, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:56Kulikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, McBain, Omark, Hodgson, McNabb · FLA Weaver, Boyes, Bergenheim, Kulikov, Barkov

  4. P1 2:23Goal by Stafford (Ott, Omark)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Stafford, McBain, Omark, Leino · FLA Campbell, Weaver, Goc, Winchester

  5. P1 2:34Shot by Flynn, saved by Thomas
  6. P1 3:09Shot by Tallinder, saved by Thomas
  7. P1 3:49Shot by Upshall, saved by Miller
  8. P1 4:06Goal by Winchester (Jovanovski, Huberdeau)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Weber, Omark, Hodgson · FLA Jovanovski, Goc, Winchester, Gudbranson, Huberdeau

  9. P1 4:25Shot by Flynn, saved by Thomas
  10. P1 6:02Shot by Ennis, saved by Thomas
  11. P1 6:16Goal by Stafford (Ennis)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, Weber, Ennis · FLA Campbell, Goc, Gilbert, Winchester, Huberdeau

  12. P1 6:31Shot by Boyes, saved by Miller
  13. P1 6:40Shot by Omark, saved by Thomas
  14. P1 7:16Shot by McNabb, saved by Thomas
  15. P1 7:32Myers: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Myers, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Bergenheim, Barkov

  16. P1 7:53Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Miller4v5
  17. P1 10:43Shot by Tallinder, saved by Thomas
  18. P1 14:20Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Miller
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Boyes, saved by Miller
  20. P1 16:49Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Miller
  21. P1 16:57Shot by Weaver, saved by Miller
  22. P1 18:04Goal by Bergenheim (Gilbert, Barkov)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Moulson, Stafford, Myers, Ennis · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Bergenheim, Barkov

  23. P1 18:56Goal by Jovanovski, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Weber, Omark, Foligno, Flynn · FLA Jovanovski, Goc, Winchester, Gudbranson, Huberdeau

  24. P1 19:05Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller
  25. P1 19:14Shot by Flynn, saved by Thomas
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 3:03Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  29. P2 3:29Upshall: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Weber, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Upshall, Bjugstad

  30. P2 4:46Shot by Moulson, saved by Thomas5v4
  31. P2 5:49Shot by Kulikov, saved by Miller
  32. P2 6:51Shot by Tallinder, saved by Thomas
  33. P2 10:56Shot by Hodgson, saved by Thomas
  34. P2 11:09Shot by McNabb, saved by Thomas
  35. P2 12:43Shot by Goc, saved by Miller
  36. P2 13:01Kulikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, Weber, Ennis · FLA Weaver, Goc, Fleischmann, Upshall, Kulikov

  37. P2 13:47Shot by Stafford, saved by Thomas5v4
  38. P2 15:53Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Miller
  39. P2 16:12Goal by Bjugstad (Campbell, Gilbert)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Weber, Hodgson, McNabb, Foligno, Girgensons · FLA Jovanovski, Boyes, Fleischmann, Bjugstad, Gudbranson

  40. P2 17:36Shot by Ennis, saved by Thomas
  41. P2 17:58Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Miller
  42. P2 18:39Shot by McBain, saved by Thomas
  43. P2 19:32Shot by Leino, saved by Thomas
  44. P2 19:39Shot by Ott, saved by Thomas
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:29Shot by Upshall, saved by Miller
  48. P3 1:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Thomas
  49. P3 2:06Shot by Hodgson, saved by Thomas
  50. P3 3:27Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Miller
  51. P3 3:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Thomas
  52. P3 4:53Shot by McNabb, saved by Thomas
  53. P3 5:46Shot by Matthias, saved by Miller
  54. P3 6:22Shot by Ellis, saved by Thomas
  55. P3 6:59Winchester: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Weber, Foligno, Flynn, Girgensons · FLA Campbell, Goc, Gilbert, Winchester, Huberdeau

  56. P3 8:34Shot by Stafford, saved by Thomas5v4
  57. P3 8:36Goal by Ott (Stafford, Leino)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, McBain, Leino · FLA Weaver, Goc, Fleischmann, Kulikov

  58. P3 10:13Shot by Ennis, saved by Thomas
  59. P3 12:46Shot by Moulson, saved by Thomas
  60. P3 12:47Jovanovski: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Moulson, Stafford, Weber, Ennis · FLA Jovanovski, Matthias, Shore, Gudbranson, Huberdeau

  61. P3 13:03Omark: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Stafford, McBain, Omark, Leino · FLA Weaver, Boyes, Goc, Winchester, Kulikov

  62. P3 13:18Boyes: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Ott, Leino, Hodgson, Myers · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Gilbert, Bjugstad

  63. P3 13:39Shot by Ennis, saved by Thomas4v3
  64. P3 14:10Shot by Ott, saved by Thomas4v3
  65. P3 15:06Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller5v4
  66. P3 15:17Shot by Omark, saved by Thomas5v4
  67. P3 15:46Shot by Hodgson, saved by Thomas5v4
  68. P3 15:44Shot by Hodgson, saved by Thomas5v4
  69. P3 16:40Shot by McBain, saved by Thomas5v4
  70. P3 18:14Shot by Foligno, saved by Thomas
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final